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Probabilities that A, B, C can hit a tar...

Probabilities that A, B, C can hit a target are `1/3, 1/4, 1/5` respectively. If they all fire simultaneously, the probability that exactly two of them hit the target is

A

`1/20`

B

`1/10`

C

`3/20`

D

`3/10`

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The correct Answer is:
To find the probability that exactly two out of A, B, and C hit the target, we can break down the problem into manageable steps. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Identify the probabilities**: - Probability that A hits the target, \( P(A) = \frac{1}{3} \) - Probability that B hits the target, \( P(B) = \frac{1}{4} \) - Probability that C hits the target, \( P(C) = \frac{1}{5} \) 2. **Calculate the probabilities of missing the target**: - Probability that A misses the target, \( P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \) - Probability that B misses the target, \( P(B') = 1 - P(B) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \) - Probability that C misses the target, \( P(C') = 1 - P(C) = 1 - \frac{1}{5} = \frac{4}{5} \) 3. **Determine the scenarios for exactly two hits**: The scenarios where exactly two of them hit the target are: - A and B hit, C misses: \( P(A) \cdot P(B) \cdot P(C') \) - A and C hit, B misses: \( P(A) \cdot P(B') \cdot P(C) \) - B and C hit, A misses: \( P(A') \cdot P(B) \cdot P(C) \) 4. **Calculate the probabilities for each scenario**: - For A and B hit, C misses: \[ P(A) \cdot P(B) \cdot P(C') = \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{4} \cdot \frac{4}{5} = \frac{1 \cdot 1 \cdot 4}{3 \cdot 4 \cdot 5} = \frac{4}{60} = \frac{1}{15} \] - For A and C hit, B misses: \[ P(A) \cdot P(B') \cdot P(C) = \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{3}{4} \cdot \frac{1}{5} = \frac{1 \cdot 3 \cdot 1}{3 \cdot 4 \cdot 5} = \frac{3}{60} = \frac{1}{20} \] - For B and C hit, A misses: \[ P(A') \cdot P(B) \cdot P(C) = \frac{2}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{4} \cdot \frac{1}{5} = \frac{2 \cdot 1 \cdot 1}{3 \cdot 4 \cdot 5} = \frac{2}{60} = \frac{1}{30} \] 5. **Sum the probabilities of all scenarios**: \[ P(\text{exactly 2 hits}) = P(A \text{ and } B \text{ hit, } C \text{ misses}) + P(A \text{ and } C \text{ hit, } B \text{ misses}) + P(B \text{ and } C \text{ hit, } A \text{ misses} \] \[ = \frac{1}{15} + \frac{1}{20} + \frac{1}{30} \] 6. **Find a common denominator**: The least common multiple of 15, 20, and 30 is 60. - Convert each fraction: \[ \frac{1}{15} = \frac{4}{60}, \quad \frac{1}{20} = \frac{3}{60}, \quad \frac{1}{30} = \frac{2}{60} \] 7. **Add the fractions**: \[ P(\text{exactly 2 hits}) = \frac{4}{60} + \frac{3}{60} + \frac{2}{60} = \frac{9}{60} = \frac{3}{20} \] ### Final Answer: The probability that exactly two of A, B, and C hit the target is \( \frac{3}{20} \).
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