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A player X has a biased coin whose prob...

A player X has a biased coin whose probability of showing heads is p and a player Y has a fair coin. They start playing a game with their own coins and play alternately. The player who throws a head first is a winner. If X starts the game, and the probability of winning the game by both the players is equal, then the value of 'p is :

A

`(1)/(3)`

B

`(2)/(5)`

C

`(1)/(4)`

D

`(1)/(5)`

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the value of \( p \) such that the probability of player X winning is equal to the probability of player Y winning. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define the Probabilities**: - Let \( P(X) \) be the probability that player X wins. - Player X has a biased coin with a probability of heads \( p \) and tails \( 1 - p \). - Player Y has a fair coin, so the probability of heads is \( \frac{1}{2} \) and tails is also \( \frac{1}{2} \). 2. **Calculate the Probability of X Winning**: - Player X can win in two scenarios: 1. X wins on the first toss (which happens with probability \( p \)). 2. Both players get tails in their first tosses, and then X wins in the subsequent rounds. The probability of both getting tails is: \[ (1 - p) \times \frac{1}{2} \] After both get tails, the game resets with X starting again. Thus, we can express \( P(X) \) as: \[ P(X) = p + (1 - p) \cdot \frac{1}{2} \cdot P(X) \] Rearranging gives: \[ P(X) - (1 - p) \cdot \frac{1}{2} \cdot P(X) = p \] \[ P(X) \left(1 - \frac{1 - p}{2}\right) = p \] \[ P(X) \left(\frac{2 - (1 - p)}{2}\right) = p \] \[ P(X) \left(\frac{1 + p}{2}\right) = p \] \[ P(X) = \frac{2p}{1 + p} \] 3. **Calculate the Probability of Y Winning**: - Player Y can win in two scenarios: 1. Y wins on the first toss (which happens with probability \( \frac{1}{2} \)). 2. Both players get tails in their first tosses, and then Y wins in the subsequent rounds. The probability of both getting tails is: \[ (1 - p) \cdot \frac{1}{2} \] After both get tails, the game resets with X starting again. Thus, we can express \( P(Y) \) as: \[ P(Y) = \frac{1}{2} + (1 - p) \cdot \frac{1}{2} \cdot P(Y) \] Rearranging gives: \[ P(Y) - (1 - p) \cdot \frac{1}{2} \cdot P(Y) = \frac{1}{2} \] \[ P(Y) \left(1 - \frac{1 - p}{2}\right) = \frac{1}{2} \] \[ P(Y) \left(\frac{1 + p}{2}\right) = \frac{1}{2} \] \[ P(Y) = \frac{1}{1 + p} \] 4. **Set the Probabilities Equal**: Since the probabilities of winning are equal: \[ \frac{2p}{1 + p} = \frac{1}{1 + p} \] Cross-multiplying gives: \[ 2p(1 + p) = 1 \] \[ 2p + 2p^2 = 1 \] Rearranging gives: \[ 2p^2 + 2p - 1 = 0 \] 5. **Solve the Quadratic Equation**: Using the quadratic formula \( p = \frac{-b \pm \sqrt{b^2 - 4ac}}{2a} \): Here, \( a = 2, b = 2, c = -1 \): \[ p = \frac{-2 \pm \sqrt{2^2 - 4 \cdot 2 \cdot (-1)}}{2 \cdot 2} \] \[ p = \frac{-2 \pm \sqrt{4 + 8}}{4} \] \[ p = \frac{-2 \pm \sqrt{12}}{4} \] \[ p = \frac{-2 \pm 2\sqrt{3}}{4} \] \[ p = \frac{-1 \pm \sqrt{3}}{2} \] Since \( p \) must be a probability (between 0 and 1), we take the positive root: \[ p = \frac{-1 + \sqrt{3}}{2} \] ### Final Answer: The value of \( p \) is: \[ p = \frac{-1 + \sqrt{3}}{2} \]
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