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Suppose that the reliability of a HIV t...

Suppose that the reliability of a HIV test is specified as follows: Of people having HIV. 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% go undetected. Of people free of HIV, 99% of the test are judged HIV-ive but 1% are diagnosed as showing HIV+ive. From a large population of which only 0.1% have HIV one person is selected at random, given the HIV test, and the pathologist reports him/her as HIV+ive. What is the probability that the person actually has HIV?

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To solve the problem, we will use Bayes' theorem to find the probability that a person actually has HIV given that they tested positive for it. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define Events**: - Let \( E \): the event that the person has HIV. - Let \( F \): the event that the person does not have HIV. - Let \( G \): the event that the test result is positive. ...
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The reliability of a COVID PCR test is specified as follows Of people having COVID, 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% goes undetected. Of people free of COVID, 99% of the test is judged COVID negative but 1% are diagnosed as showing COVID positive. From a large population of which only 0.1% have COVID, one person is selected at random, given the COVID PCR test, and the pathologist reports him/her as COVID positive. Based on the above information, answer the following What is the probability of the ‘person to be tested as COVID positive’ given that ‘he is actually not having COVID’?

The reliability of a COVID PCR test is specified as follows Of people having COVID, 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% goes undetected. Of people free of COVID, 99% of the test is judged COVID negative but 1% are diagnosed as showing COVID positive. From a large population of which only 0.1% have COVID, one person is selected at random, given the COVID PCR test, and the pathologist reports him/her as COVID positive. Based on the above information, answer the following What is the probability that the ‘person is actually having COVID given that ‘he is tested as COVID positive’?

The reliability of a COVID PCR test is specified as follows Of people having COVID, 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% goes undetected. Of people free of COVID, 99% of the test is judged COVID negative but 1% are diagnosed as showing COVID positive. From a large population of which only 0.1% have COVID, one person is selected at random, given the COVID PCR test, and the pathologist reports him/her as COVID positive. Based on the above information, answer the following What is the probability of the ‘person to be tested as COVID positive’ given that ‘he is actually having COVID?

The reliability of a COVID PCR test is specified as follows Of people having COVID, 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% goes undetected. Of people free of COVID, 99% of the test is judged COVID negative but 1% are diagnosed as showing COVID positive. From a large population of which only 0.1% have COVID, one person is selected at random, given the COVID PCR test, and the pathologist reports him/her as COVID positive. Based on the above information, answer the following What is the probability that the ‘person selected will be diagnosed as COVID positive’?

The reliability of a COVID PCR test is specified as follows Of people having COVID, 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% goes undetected. Of people free of COVID, 99% of the test is judged COVID negative but 1% are diagnosed as showing COVID positive. From a large population of which only 0.1% have COVID, one person is selected at random, given the COVID PCR test, and the pathologist reports him/her as COVID positive. Based on the above information, answer the following What is the probability that the ‘person is actually not having COVID?

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