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When two dice are thrown n number of times, the probability of getting a doublet atleast once in greater than `80%` and the least value of n is `lambda`, then the value of `lambda` is equal to

A

62

B

71

C

80

D

91

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the least value of \( n \) such that the probability of getting at least one doublet when two dice are thrown \( n \) times is greater than 80%. ### Step-by-step Solution: 1. **Understanding the Problem**: - A doublet occurs when both dice show the same number. The possible doublets when throwing two dice are (1,1), (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), and (6,6). Thus, there are 6 doublets. - The total number of outcomes when throwing two dice is \( 6 \times 6 = 36 \). 2. **Calculating the Probability of Not Getting a Doublet**: - The probability of not getting a doublet in a single throw is: \[ P(\text{not a doublet}) = 1 - P(\text{doublet}) = 1 - \frac{6}{36} = \frac{30}{36} = \frac{5}{6} \] 3. **Probability of Not Getting a Doublet in \( n \) Throws**: - If two dice are thrown \( n \) times, the probability of not getting a doublet in any of the \( n \) throws is: \[ P(\text{no doublet in } n \text{ throws}) = \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^n \] 4. **Probability of Getting at Least One Doublet**: - Therefore, the probability of getting at least one doublet in \( n \) throws is: \[ P(\text{at least one doublet}) = 1 - P(\text{no doublet in } n \text{ throws}) = 1 - \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^n \] 5. **Setting Up the Inequality**: - We want this probability to be greater than 80%: \[ 1 - \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^n > 0.8 \] - Rearranging gives: \[ \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^n < 0.2 \] 6. **Taking Logarithms**: - Taking the logarithm of both sides: \[ \log\left(\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^n\right) < \log(0.2) \] - This simplifies to: \[ n \cdot \log\left(\frac{5}{6}\right) < \log(0.2) \] - Since \( \log\left(\frac{5}{6}\right) \) is negative, we can reverse the inequality: \[ n > \frac{\log(0.2)}{\log\left(\frac{5}{6}\right)} \] 7. **Calculating the Values**: - Using logarithm values: \[ \log(0.2) \approx -0.6990 \] \[ \log\left(\frac{5}{6}\right) \approx \log(5) - \log(6) \approx 0.6990 - 0.7781 \approx -0.0791 \] - Now substituting these values: \[ n > \frac{-0.6990}{-0.0791} \approx 8.83 \] 8. **Finding the Least Integer Value**: - Since \( n \) must be an integer, we round up to the next whole number: \[ n \geq 9 \] ### Conclusion: Thus, the least value of \( n \) such that the probability of getting at least one doublet is greater than 80% is \( \lambda = 9 \).
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