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A doctor is called to see a sick child. ...

A doctor is called to see a sick child. The doctor knows (prior to the visit) that 90% of the sick children in that neighbourhood are sick with the flu, denoted by `F ,`while 10% are sick with the measles, denoted by `M` A well-known symptom of measles is a rash, denoted by R. The probability having a rash for a child sick with the measles is 0.95. however, occasionally children with the flu also develop a rash, with conditional probability 0.08. upon examination the child, the doctor finds a rash. The what is the probability that the child has the measles? (A) `91/165` (B) `90/163` (C) `82/161` (D) `95/167`

A

`91//165`

B

`90//163`

C

`82//161`

D

`95//167`

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

To solve the problem, we will use Bayes' theorem, which allows us to find the probability of an event given prior knowledge of conditions related to the event. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define the Events:** - Let \( M \) be the event that the child has measles. - Let \( F \) be the event that the child has the flu. - Let \( R \) be the event that the child has a rash. ...
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