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A speaks truth in 60% and Bin 80% of the...

A speaks truth in 60% and Bin 80% of the cases. In what percentage of cases are they likely to contradict each other narrating the same incident?

A

`44%`

B

`36%`

C

`64%`

D

`48%`

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to calculate the probability that A and B contradict each other when narrating the same incident. Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of the solution: ### Step 1: Determine the probabilities of telling the truth and lying - A speaks the truth 60% of the time, so the probability of A telling the truth (P(A)) is: \[ P(A) = \frac{60}{100} = 0.6 \] - Therefore, the probability of A lying (P(A')) is: \[ P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4 \] - B speaks the truth 80% of the time, so the probability of B telling the truth (P(B)) is: \[ P(B) = \frac{80}{100} = 0.8 \] - Therefore, the probability of B lying (P(B')) is: \[ P(B') = 1 - P(B) = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2 \] ### Step 2: Calculate the probabilities of them contradicting each other There are two scenarios where A and B contradict each other: 1. **Case 1**: A tells the truth and B lies. - The probability of this happening is: \[ P(A) \times P(B') = 0.6 \times 0.2 = 0.12 \] 2. **Case 2**: A lies and B tells the truth. - The probability of this happening is: \[ P(A') \times P(B) = 0.4 \times 0.8 = 0.32 \] ### Step 3: Add the probabilities of the two cases To find the total probability that A and B contradict each other, we add the probabilities from both cases: \[ P(\text{contradiction}) = P(A) \times P(B') + P(A') \times P(B) = 0.12 + 0.32 = 0.44 \] ### Step 4: Convert the probability to a percentage To express this probability as a percentage, we multiply by 100: \[ \text{Percentage of contradiction} = 0.44 \times 100 = 44\% \] ### Final Answer Thus, A and B are likely to contradict each other in **44%** of the cases. ---
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