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A laboratory blood test is 99% effective...

A laboratory blood test is 99% effective in detecting a certain disease when its infection is present. However, the test also yields a false positive result for 0.5% of the healthy person tested (i.e. if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability 0.005, the test will imply he has the disease). If 0.1% of the population actually has the disease, what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?

Text Solution

Verified by Experts

Let, the events that a person has a disease and a person has no disease be denoted by `A` and `B` respectively.
It is given that,
`P(A)=0.1%`
i.e., `P(A)=0.001`
Now, as we know that the events `A` and `B` are complementary to each other.
Therefore, `P(A)+P(B)=1`
`=>P(B)=1-P(A)`
`=>P(B)=1-0.001`
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