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Assume that the chances of a patient h...

Assume that the chances of a patient having a heart attack is 40%. It is also assumed that a meditation and yoga course reduce the risk of heart attack by 30% and prescription of certain drug reduces its chances by 25%. At a time a patient can choose any one of the two options with equal probabilities. It is given that after going through one of the two options the patient selected at random suffers a heart attack. Find the probability that the patient followed a course of meditation and yoga?

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To solve the problem, we will use Bayes' theorem to find the probability that a patient followed a course of meditation and yoga given that they suffered a heart attack. ### Step-by-step Solution: 1. **Define Events**: - Let \( A \) be the event that the patient followed meditation and yoga. - Let \( A' \) be the event that the patient followed the prescribed drug. - Let \( B \) be the event that the patient suffers a heart attack. 2. **Given Probabilities**: - The probability of a patient having a heart attack without any intervention is \( P(B) = 0.4 \). - The probability of a heart attack after meditation and yoga is reduced by 30%, so: \[ P(B|A) = P(B) \times (1 - 0.3) = 0.4 \times 0.7 = 0.28 \] - The probability of a heart attack after taking the prescribed drug is reduced by 25%, so: \[ P(B|A') = P(B) \times (1 - 0.25) = 0.4 \times 0.75 = 0.3 \] 3. **Prior Probabilities**: - Since the patient can choose either option with equal probability: \[ P(A) = P(A') = \frac{1}{2} \] 4. **Using Bayes' Theorem**: We want to find \( P(A|B) \): \[ P(A|B) = \frac{P(A) \cdot P(B|A)}{P(A) \cdot P(B|A) + P(A') \cdot P(B|A')} \] 5. **Substituting Values**: Substitute the values we calculated: \[ P(A|B) = \frac{\frac{1}{2} \cdot 0.28}{\frac{1}{2} \cdot 0.28 + \frac{1}{2} \cdot 0.3} \] 6. **Simplifying**: \[ P(A|B) = \frac{0.14}{0.14 + 0.15} = \frac{0.14}{0.29} \] 7. **Final Calculation**: \[ P(A|B) = \frac{14}{29} \] Thus, the probability that the patient followed a course of meditation and yoga given that they suffered a heart attack is \( \frac{14}{29} \).

To solve the problem, we will use Bayes' theorem to find the probability that a patient followed a course of meditation and yoga given that they suffered a heart attack. ### Step-by-step Solution: 1. **Define Events**: - Let \( A \) be the event that the patient followed meditation and yoga. - Let \( A' \) be the event that the patient followed the prescribed drug. - Let \( B \) be the event that the patient suffers a heart attack. ...
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Assume that the chances of a patient having a heart attack is 40%. Assuming that a meditation and yoga course reduces the risk of heart attack by 30% and prescription of certain drug reduces its chance by 25%. At a time a patient can choose any one of the two options with equal probabilities. It is given that after going through one of the two options, the patient selected at random suffers a heart attack. Find the probability that the patient followed a course of meditation and yoga. Interpret the result and state which of the above stated methods is more beneficial for the patient.

Assume that the chances of a patient having a heart attack is 40%. Assuming that a meditation and yoga course reduces the risk of heart attack by 30% and prescription of certain drug reduces its chance by 25%. At a time a patient can choose any one of the two options with equal probabilities. It is given that after going through one of the two options, the patient selected at random suffers a heart attack. Find the probability that the patient followed a course of meditation and yoga. Interpret the result and state which of the above stated methods is more beneficial for the patient.

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