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A box B(1) contains 1 white ball, 3 red ...

A box `B_(1)` contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls, and 2 black balls. An- other box `B_(2)` contains 2 white balls, 3 red balls. A third box `B_(3)` contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls, and 5 black balls.
If 2 balls are drawn (without replecement) from a randomly selected box and one of the balls is white and the other ball is red the probability that these 2 balls are drawn from box `B_(2)` is

A

`116//182`

B

`126//181`

C

`65//181`

D

`55//181`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem step by step, we will use the concept of conditional probability and Bayes' theorem. ### Step 1: Define the events Let: - \( A \): Event that one ball is white and the other is red. - \( E_1 \): Event that the balls are drawn from box \( B_1 \). - \( E_2 \): Event that the balls are drawn from box \( B_2 \). - \( E_3 \): Event that the balls are drawn from box \( B_3 \). ### Step 2: Calculate the total probability of drawing one white and one red ball from each box #### From Box \( B_1 \): - Box \( B_1 \) contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls, and 2 black balls (total = 6 balls). - The number of ways to choose 1 white and 1 red ball: \[ \text{Ways} = 1 \times 3 = 3 \] - Total ways to choose 2 balls from 6: \[ \binom{6}{2} = 15 \] - Probability \( P(A | E_1) \): \[ P(A | E_1) = \frac{3}{15} = \frac{1}{5} \] #### From Box \( B_2 \): - Box \( B_2 \) contains 2 white balls and 3 red balls (total = 5 balls). - The number of ways to choose 1 white and 1 red ball: \[ \text{Ways} = 2 \times 3 = 6 \] - Total ways to choose 2 balls from 5: \[ \binom{5}{2} = 10 \] - Probability \( P(A | E_2) \): \[ P(A | E_2) = \frac{6}{10} = \frac{3}{5} \] #### From Box \( B_3 \): - Box \( B_3 \) contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls, and 5 black balls (total = 12 balls). - The number of ways to choose 1 white and 1 red ball: \[ \text{Ways} = 3 \times 4 = 12 \] - Total ways to choose 2 balls from 12: \[ \binom{12}{2} = 66 \] - Probability \( P(A | E_3) \): \[ P(A | E_3) = \frac{12}{66} = \frac{2}{11} \] ### Step 3: Calculate the total probability of event \( A \) Using the law of total probability: \[ P(A) = P(A | E_1) P(E_1) + P(A | E_2) P(E_2) + P(A | E_3) P(E_3) \] Since each box is equally likely to be chosen: \[ P(E_1) = P(E_2) = P(E_3) = \frac{1}{3} \] Thus, \[ P(A) = \left(\frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{3}\right) + \left(\frac{3}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{3}\right) + \left(\frac{2}{11} \cdot \frac{1}{3}\right) \] Calculating each term: \[ P(A) = \frac{1}{15} + \frac{3}{15} + \frac{2}{33} \] Finding a common denominator (which is 165): \[ P(A) = \frac{11}{165} + \frac{33}{165} + \frac{10}{165} = \frac{54}{165} = \frac{18}{55} \] ### Step 4: Calculate the conditional probability \( P(E_2 | A) \) using Bayes' theorem \[ P(E_2 | A) = \frac{P(A | E_2) P(E_2)}{P(A)} \] Substituting the values: \[ P(E_2 | A) = \frac{\left(\frac{3}{5}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)}{\frac{18}{55}} = \frac{\frac{3}{15}}{\frac{18}{55}} = \frac{3 \cdot 55}{15 \cdot 18} = \frac{11}{18} \] ### Final Answer The probability that the two balls drawn are from box \( B_2 \) given that one is white and the other is red is: \[ \boxed{\frac{11}{18}} \]

To solve the problem step by step, we will use the concept of conditional probability and Bayes' theorem. ### Step 1: Define the events Let: - \( A \): Event that one ball is white and the other is red. - \( E_1 \): Event that the balls are drawn from box \( B_1 \). - \( E_2 \): Event that the balls are drawn from box \( B_2 \). - \( E_3 \): Event that the balls are drawn from box \( B_3 \). ...
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