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There are 5 independent trials , probabi...

There are `5` independent trials , probability of exactly one success is `0.4096` , probability of exactly `2` success is `0.2048`. Find probability of exactly `3 ` success

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To solve the problem, we will use the binomial probability formula. The scenario describes independent trials with two possible outcomes: success and failure. ### Step-by-step Solution: 1. **Understanding the Binomial Probability Formula**: The binomial probability formula for exactly \( r \) successes in \( n \) trials is given by: \[ P(X = r) = \binom{n}{r} p^r q^{n-r} \] where: - \( n \) = number of trials - \( r \) = number of successes - \( p \) = probability of success - \( q = 1 - p \) = probability of failure 2. **Setting Up the Problem**: We have \( n = 5 \) trials. We are given: - Probability of exactly 1 success: \[ P(X = 1) = \binom{5}{1} p^1 q^4 = 0.4096 \] - Probability of exactly 2 successes: \[ P(X = 2) = \binom{5}{2} p^2 q^3 = 0.2048 \] 3. **Calculating the First Equation**: Using \( P(X = 1) \): \[ 5p q^4 = 0.4096 \quad \text{(Equation 1)} \] 4. **Calculating the Second Equation**: Using \( P(X = 2) \): \[ 10p^2 q^3 = 0.2048 \quad \text{(Equation 2)} \] 5. **Dividing Equation 1 by Equation 2**: \[ \frac{5pq^4}{10p^2q^3} = \frac{0.4096}{0.2048} \] Simplifying this gives: \[ \frac{q}{2p} = 2 \quad \Rightarrow \quad q = 4p \] 6. **Using the fact that \( p + q = 1 \)**: Since \( q = 4p \): \[ p + 4p = 1 \quad \Rightarrow \quad 5p = 1 \quad \Rightarrow \quad p = \frac{1}{5} \] Then, \[ q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{5} = \frac{4}{5} \] 7. **Finding the Probability of Exactly 3 Successes**: Now, we can find \( P(X = 3) \): \[ P(X = 3) = \binom{5}{3} p^3 q^2 \] Calculating this: \[ P(X = 3) = 10 \left(\frac{1}{5}\right)^3 \left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^2 \] \[ = 10 \cdot \frac{1}{125} \cdot \frac{16}{25} \] \[ = 10 \cdot \frac{16}{3125} = \frac{160}{3125} = \frac{32}{625} \] ### Final Answer: The probability of exactly 3 successes is: \[ \frac{32}{625} \]
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