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X speaks truth in 60 % and Y in 50 % of the cases . The probability that they contradict each other while narrating the same fact is a) 1/4 b)1/3 c)1/2 d)2/3

A

`1/4`

B

`1/3`

C

`1/2`

D

`2/3`

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem step by step, we will calculate the probability that X and Y contradict each other while narrating the same fact. ### Step 1: Define the events Let: - Event A: X speaks the truth. - Event B: Y speaks the truth. ### Step 2: Determine the probabilities From the problem statement: - The probability that X speaks the truth, \( P(A) = 60\% = \frac{60}{100} = \frac{3}{5} \). - The probability that Y speaks the truth, \( P(B) = 50\% = \frac{50}{100} = \frac{1}{2} \). ### Step 3: Calculate the probabilities of lying - The probability that X lies (complement of A), \( P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - \frac{3}{5} = \frac{2}{5} \). - The probability that Y lies (complement of B), \( P(B') = 1 - P(B) = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2} \). ### Step 4: Determine the conditions for contradiction X and Y will contradict each other if: 1. X speaks the truth and Y lies. 2. X lies and Y speaks the truth. ### Step 5: Calculate the probability of contradiction The probability that they contradict each other can be calculated as: \[ P(\text{Contradiction}) = P(A) \cdot P(B') + P(A') \cdot P(B) \] Substituting the values we found: \[ P(\text{Contradiction}) = P(A) \cdot P(B') + P(A') \cdot P(B) = \left(\frac{3}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{2}\right) + \left(\frac{2}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{2}\right) \] ### Step 6: Simplify the expression Calculating each term: \[ = \frac{3}{10} + \frac{2}{10} = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2} \] ### Conclusion The probability that X and Y contradict each other while narrating the same fact is \( \frac{1}{2} \). ### Final Answer Thus, the answer is \( \frac{1}{2} \) or option (c). ---
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