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IF the mean and the variance of a binomi...

IF the mean and the variance of a binomial distribution are 4 and 3 respectively , then the probability of six successes is

A

`.^(16)C_(6)(1/4)^(6)(3/4)^(10)`

B

`.^(16)C_(6)(1/4)^(10)(3/4)^(6)`

C

`.^(12)C_(6)(1/4)^(6)(3/4)^(6)`

D

`.^(12)C_(6)(1/4)^(6)(3/4)^(10)`

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to determine the probability of getting exactly 6 successes in a binomial distribution where the mean is 4 and the variance is 3. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Identify the Mean and Variance**: - Given: Mean (μ) = 4 and Variance (σ²) = 3. 2. **Use the Properties of Binomial Distribution**: - For a binomial distribution with parameters \( N \) (number of trials) and \( P \) (probability of success): - Mean: \( μ = N \cdot P \) - Variance: \( σ² = N \cdot P \cdot Q \) where \( Q = 1 - P \) (probability of failure). 3. **Set Up the Equations**: - From the mean: \[ N \cdot P = 4 \quad \text{(1)} \] - From the variance: \[ N \cdot P \cdot Q = 3 \quad \text{(2)} \] 4. **Express Q in terms of P**: - Since \( Q = 1 - P \), we can substitute \( Q \) in equation (2): \[ N \cdot P \cdot (1 - P) = 3 \] 5. **Substitute N from Equation (1) into Equation (2)**: - From equation (1), we can express \( N \) as: \[ N = \frac{4}{P} \] - Substitute \( N \) into equation (2): \[ \left(\frac{4}{P}\right) \cdot P \cdot (1 - P) = 3 \] - Simplifying gives: \[ 4(1 - P) = 3 \] \[ 4 - 4P = 3 \] \[ 4P = 1 \quad \Rightarrow \quad P = \frac{1}{4} \] 6. **Calculate Q**: - Now, since \( Q = 1 - P \): \[ Q = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \] 7. **Find N**: - Substitute \( P \) back into equation (1): \[ N \cdot \frac{1}{4} = 4 \quad \Rightarrow \quad N = 16 \] 8. **Calculate the Probability of Exactly 6 Successes**: - The probability of getting exactly \( k \) successes in a binomial distribution is given by: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{N}{k} P^k Q^{N-k} \] - For \( k = 6 \): \[ P(X = 6) = \binom{16}{6} \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^6 \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{10} \] 9. **Calculate the Binomial Coefficient**: - Calculate \( \binom{16}{6} \): \[ \binom{16}{6} = \frac{16!}{6!(16-6)!} = \frac{16!}{6! \cdot 10!} = 8008 \] 10. **Combine Everything**: - Thus, the probability becomes: \[ P(X = 6) = 8008 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^6 \cdot \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{10} \] ### Final Probability Calculation: - Calculate \( \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^6 = \frac{1}{4096} \) and \( \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{10} = \frac{59049}{1048576} \). - Therefore: \[ P(X = 6) = 8008 \cdot \frac{1}{4096} \cdot \frac{59049}{1048576} \]
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