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In an examination in a school having 60 ...

In an examination in a school having 60 students in XII A and 40 students in XII B, 15 and 20 students are failed in XII A and XII B, respectively. A student is called by the principal at random, find the probability that he is from XII A if he passed in the examination.

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To solve the problem step by step, we will follow these calculations: ### Step 1: Gather the given information - Number of students in XII A = 60 - Number of students in XII B = 40 - Students failed in XII A = 15 - Students failed in XII B = 20 ### Step 2: Calculate the number of students who passed - Students passed in XII A = Total students in XII A - Students failed in XII A \[ = 60 - 15 = 45 \] - Students passed in XII B = Total students in XII B - Students failed in XII B \[ = 40 - 20 = 20 \] ### Step 3: Calculate the total number of students who passed - Total students passed = Students passed in XII A + Students passed in XII B \[ = 45 + 20 = 65 \] ### Step 4: Define the events - Let \( A \) be the event that a student is from XII A. - Let \( B \) be the event that a student is from XII B. - Let \( E \) be the event that a student has passed the examination. ### Step 5: Calculate the probabilities of events A and B - Probability of A (P(A)) = Number of students in XII A / Total number of students \[ P(A) = \frac{60}{100} = \frac{3}{5} \] - Probability of B (P(B)) = Number of students in XII B / Total number of students \[ P(B) = \frac{40}{100} = \frac{2}{5} \] ### Step 6: Calculate the conditional probabilities - Probability of passing given A (P(E|A)) = Students passed in XII A / Total students in XII A \[ P(E|A) = \frac{45}{60} = \frac{3}{4} \] - Probability of passing given B (P(E|B)) = Students passed in XII B / Total students in XII B \[ P(E|B) = \frac{20}{40} = \frac{1}{2} \] ### Step 7: Use Bayes' theorem to find the required probability We need to find \( P(A|E) \), the probability that a student is from XII A given that they passed. Using Bayes' theorem: \[ P(A|E) = \frac{P(A) \cdot P(E|A)}{P(A) \cdot P(E|A) + P(B) \cdot P(E|B)} \] ### Step 8: Substitute the values into the formula \[ P(A|E) = \frac{\left(\frac{3}{5}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)}{\left(\frac{3}{5} \cdot \frac{3}{4}\right) + \left(\frac{2}{5} \cdot \frac{1}{2}\right)} \] ### Step 9: Calculate the numerator and denominator - Numerator: \[ = \frac{3}{5} \cdot \frac{3}{4} = \frac{9}{20} \] - Denominator: \[ = \frac{9}{20} + \frac{2}{10} = \frac{9}{20} + \frac{4}{20} = \frac{13}{20} \] ### Step 10: Final calculation \[ P(A|E) = \frac{\frac{9}{20}}{\frac{13}{20}} = \frac{9}{13} \] ### Final Answer Therefore, the probability that a student is from XII A given that they passed is: \[ \frac{9}{13} \]
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