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A random variable X takes values 0, 1, 2...

A random variable X takes values 0, 1, 2, 3,… with probability proportional to `(x+1)((1)/(5))^x`.
`P(Xge2)` equals

A

`(11)/(25)`

B

`(13)/(25)`

C

`(11)/(125)`

D

`(13)/(125)`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find \( P(X \geq 2) \) for a random variable \( X \) that takes values \( 0, 1, 2, 3, \ldots \) with probabilities proportional to \( (x+1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \). ### Step 1: Define the Probability Function The probability \( P(X = x) \) is proportional to \( (x+1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \). Therefore, we can write: \[ P(X = x) = k (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \] where \( k \) is a normalization constant. ### Step 2: Find the Normalization Constant \( k \) To find \( k \), we need to ensure that the total probability sums to 1: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} P(X = x) = 1 \] This gives us: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} k (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = 1 \] Factoring out \( k \): \[ k \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = 1 \] ### Step 3: Calculate the Series We can split the series: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} x \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x + \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \] The second sum is a geometric series: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = \frac{1}{1 - \frac{1}{5}} = \frac{5}{4} \] The first sum can be calculated using the formula for the sum of an arithmetico-geometric series: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} x r^x = \frac{r}{(1 - r)^2} \] Substituting \( r = \frac{1}{5} \): \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} x \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = \frac{\frac{1}{5}}{\left(1 - \frac{1}{5}\right)^2} = \frac{\frac{1}{5}}{\left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^2} = \frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{25}{16} = \frac{5}{16} \] ### Step 4: Combine the Results Now we can combine the results: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = \frac{5}{16} + \frac{5}{4} = \frac{5}{16} + \frac{20}{16} = \frac{25}{16} \] Thus, we have: \[ k \cdot \frac{25}{16} = 1 \implies k = \frac{16}{25} \] ### Step 5: Write the Probability Function Now we can write: \[ P(X = x) = \frac{16}{25} (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \] ### Step 6: Calculate \( P(X \geq 2) \) To find \( P(X \geq 2) \), we can use the complement: \[ P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X = 0) - P(X = 1) \] Calculating \( P(X = 0) \) and \( P(X = 1) \): \[ P(X = 0) = \frac{16}{25} (0 + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^0 = \frac{16}{25} \] \[ P(X = 1) = \frac{16}{25} (1 + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^1 = \frac{16}{25} \cdot 2 \cdot \frac{1}{5} = \frac{32}{125} \] ### Step 7: Combine to Find \( P(X \geq 2) \) Now substituting these values: \[ P(X \geq 2) = 1 - \frac{16}{25} - \frac{32}{125} \] Finding a common denominator (125): \[ P(X \geq 2) = 1 - \frac{80}{125} - \frac{32}{125} = 1 - \frac{112}{125} = \frac{13}{125} \] ### Final Answer Thus, the final answer is: \[ P(X \geq 2) = \frac{13}{125} \]
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