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In a telephone enquiry system, the numbe...

In a telephone enquiry system, the number of phone calls regarding relevant enquiry follow poisson distribution with an average of five phone calls during 10-minute time intervals. The probability that there is at the most one phone call during a 10-minute time period is

A

`(6)/(5^e)`

B

`(5)/(6)`

C

`(6)/(55)`

D

`(6)/(e^5)`

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To solve the problem, we need to find the probability that there are at most one phone call during a 10-minute time period, given that the number of phone calls follows a Poisson distribution with an average of 5 calls in that time frame. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understand the Poisson Distribution**: The Poisson distribution is defined by the formula: \[ P(X = r) = \frac{e^{-m} m^r}{r!} \] where \( m \) is the average number of occurrences (mean), \( r \) is the number of occurrences, and \( e \) is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately equal to 2.71828). 2. **Identify the Parameters**: In this problem, the average number of phone calls \( m = 5 \) (given in the question). 3. **Calculate Probability for \( r = 0 \)**: We first calculate the probability of receiving 0 calls: \[ P(X = 0) = \frac{e^{-5} \cdot 5^0}{0!} = e^{-5} \cdot 1 = e^{-5} \] 4. **Calculate Probability for \( r = 1 \)**: Next, we calculate the probability of receiving 1 call: \[ P(X = 1) = \frac{e^{-5} \cdot 5^1}{1!} = e^{-5} \cdot 5 \] 5. **Combine the Probabilities**: To find the probability of at most one call, we sum the probabilities for 0 and 1 call: \[ P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = e^{-5} + 5e^{-5} \] \[ P(X \leq 1) = e^{-5}(1 + 5) = 6e^{-5} \] 6. **Final Result**: Therefore, the probability that there is at most one phone call during a 10-minute time period is: \[ P(X \leq 1) = \frac{6}{e^5} \] ### Summary: The probability that there is at most one phone call during a 10-minute time period is \( \frac{6}{e^5} \).
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