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Football teams T1 and T2 have to play tw...

Football teams `T_1 and T_2` have to play two games against each other. It is assumed that the outcomes of the two games are independent. The probabilities of `T_1` winning. Drawing and losing a game against `T_2` are `(1)/(2),(1)/(6) and (1)/(3)` respectively. Each team gets 3 points for a win. 1 point for a draw and 10 pont for a loss in a game.
Let `X and Y` denote the total points scored by teams `T_1 and T_2` respectively. after two games.

A

`(1)/(4)`

B

`(5)/(12)`

C

`(1)/(2)`

D

`(7)/(12)`

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to analyze the outcomes of the two games played between teams \( T_1 \) and \( T_2 \) and calculate the total points scored by each team. We will then find the probability that the total points scored by \( T_1 \) equals the total points scored by \( T_2 \). ### Step 1: Define the outcomes and their probabilities The outcomes of a single game between \( T_1 \) and \( T_2 \) are: - \( T_1 \) wins: Probability \( P(W) = \frac{1}{2} \) - Draw: Probability \( P(D) = \frac{1}{6} \) - \( T_2 \) wins: Probability \( P(L) = \frac{1}{3} \) ### Step 2: Points awarded for each outcome Points awarded for each outcome are: - Win: 3 points - Draw: 1 point - Loss: 10 points ### Step 3: Calculate total points for each possible outcome after two games We need to consider the different combinations of outcomes for two games. The possible outcomes are: 1. \( W, W \) (T1 wins both) 2. \( W, D \) (T1 wins one, draws one) 3. \( D, W \) (T1 draws one, wins one) 4. \( D, D \) (Both teams draw) 5. \( L, W \) (T1 loses one, wins one) 6. \( W, L \) (T1 wins one, loses one) 7. \( L, D \) (T1 loses one, draws one) 8. \( D, L \) (T1 draws one, loses one) 9. \( L, L \) (T1 loses both) Now we calculate the total points \( X \) for \( T_1 \) and \( Y \) for \( T_2 \) for each outcome: 1. \( W, W \): \( X = 3 + 3 = 6 \), \( Y = 10 + 10 = 20 \) 2. \( W, D \): \( X = 3 + 1 = 4 \), \( Y = 10 + 3 = 13 \) 3. \( D, W \): \( X = 1 + 3 = 4 \), \( Y = 3 + 10 = 13 \) 4. \( D, D \): \( X = 1 + 1 = 2 \), \( Y = 3 + 3 = 6 \) 5. \( L, W \): \( X = 10 + 3 = 13 \), \( Y = 3 + 10 = 13 \) 6. \( W, L \): \( X = 3 + 10 = 13 \), \( Y = 10 + 3 = 13 \) 7. \( L, D \): \( X = 10 + 1 = 11 \), \( Y = 3 + 10 = 13 \) 8. \( D, L \): \( X = 1 + 10 = 11 \), \( Y = 10 + 3 = 13 \) 9. \( L, L \): \( X = 10 + 10 = 20 \), \( Y = 3 + 3 = 6 \) ### Step 4: Identify outcomes where \( X = Y \) From the outcomes calculated, we see that \( X = Y \) occurs in the following cases: - Case 2: \( W, D \) (4, 13) - Case 3: \( D, W \) (4, 13) - Case 5: \( L, W \) (13, 13) - Case 6: \( W, L \) (13, 13) ### Step 5: Calculate the probabilities of these outcomes Now we calculate the probabilities of the outcomes where \( X = Y \): 1. For \( W, W \): \( P(W) \cdot P(W) = \frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{4} \) 2. For \( W, D \): \( P(W) \cdot P(D) = \frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{6} = \frac{1}{12} \) 3. For \( D, W \): \( P(D) \cdot P(W) = \frac{1}{6} \cdot \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{12} \) 4. For \( D, D \): \( P(D) \cdot P(D) = \frac{1}{6} \cdot \frac{1}{6} = \frac{1}{36} \) 5. For \( L, W \): \( P(L) \cdot P(W) = \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{6} \) 6. For \( W, L \): \( P(W) \cdot P(L) = \frac{1}{2} \cdot \frac{1}{3} = \frac{1}{6} \) ### Step 6: Sum the probabilities of outcomes where \( X = Y \) The total probability \( P(X = Y) \) is the sum of the probabilities of the cases where \( X = Y \): \[ P(X = Y) = P(L, W) + P(W, L) = \frac{1}{6} + \frac{1}{6} = \frac{1}{3} \] ### Final Answer Thus, the probability that the total points scored by \( T_1 \) equals the total points scored by \( T_2 \) after two games is: \[ \boxed{\frac{13}{36}} \]
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