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The probability that a bulb produced in...

The probability that a bulb produced in a factory will fuse after 150 days of use in 0.05.
Find the probability that out of 5 such bulbs:
(iii) More than one will fuse after 150 days of use.

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability that more than one bulb will fuse after 150 days of use, given that the probability of a bulb fusing is \( p = 0.05 \) and we are considering 5 bulbs. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define the Problem**: Let \( X \) be the random variable representing the number of bulbs that fuse after 150 days. We know that \( X \) follows a binomial distribution with parameters \( n = 5 \) (the number of bulbs) and \( p = 0.05 \) (the probability of a bulb fusing). 2. **Calculate the Probability of No Bulbs Fusing**: The probability that none of the bulbs fuse (i.e., \( X = 0 \)) can be calculated using the binomial probability formula: \[ P(X = 0) = \binom{n}{0} p^0 (1-p)^{n} = 1 \cdot (0.05)^0 \cdot (0.95)^5 = (0.95)^5 \] Now, calculate \( (0.95)^5 \): \[ (0.95)^5 \approx 0.7738 \] 3. **Calculate the Probability of Exactly One Bulb Fusing**: Next, we calculate the probability that exactly one bulb fuses (i.e., \( X = 1 \)): \[ P(X = 1) = \binom{5}{1} p^1 (1-p)^{n-1} = 5 \cdot (0.05)^1 \cdot (0.95)^4 \] Now, calculate \( 5 \cdot (0.05) \cdot (0.95)^4 \): \[ (0.95)^4 \approx 0.8145 \] Thus, \[ P(X = 1) = 5 \cdot 0.05 \cdot 0.8145 \approx 0.2036 \] 4. **Calculate the Probability of Not More Than One Bulb Fusing**: Now, we find the probability that not more than one bulb fuses: \[ P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) \approx 0.7738 + 0.2036 \approx 0.9774 \] 5. **Calculate the Probability of More Than One Bulb Fusing**: Finally, the probability that more than one bulb fuses is given by: \[ P(X > 1) = 1 - P(X \leq 1) \approx 1 - 0.9774 \approx 0.0226 \] ### Final Answer: The probability that more than one bulb will fuse after 150 days of use is approximately \( 0.0226 \).
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