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Let A, B and C be three mutually exclusi...

Let A, B and C be three mutually exclusive events such that P(A) = `p_(1)`, P(B) = `p_(2)` and P( C) = `p_(3)`. Then,
Let `p_(1) = 1/2(1-p), p_(2) = 1/3(1+2p) " and " p_(3) = 1/5(2+3p)`, then p belongs to

A

`phi`

B

(-1, 2)

C

`(-1,1/47)`

D

`(-1/3,2/3)`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the range of \( p \) given the probabilities of mutually exclusive events \( A \), \( B \), and \( C \). ### Step 1: Write down the probabilities We are given: - \( P(A) = p_1 = \frac{1}{2}(1 - p) \) - \( P(B) = p_2 = \frac{1}{3}(1 + 2p) \) - \( P(C) = p_3 = \frac{1}{5}(2 + 3p) \) ### Step 2: Use the property of mutually exclusive events Since \( A \), \( B \), and \( C \) are mutually exclusive, we have: \[ P(A \cup B \cup C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) \] This means: \[ P(A) + P(B) + P(C) \leq 1 \] ### Step 3: Substitute the probabilities into the inequality Substituting the expressions for \( p_1 \), \( p_2 \), and \( p_3 \): \[ \frac{1}{2}(1 - p) + \frac{1}{3}(1 + 2p) + \frac{1}{5}(2 + 3p) \leq 1 \] ### Step 4: Simplify the inequality First, we find a common denominator for the fractions, which is 30: \[ \frac{15(1 - p)}{30} + \frac{10(1 + 2p)}{30} + \frac{6(2 + 3p)}{30} \leq 1 \] Combining the fractions gives: \[ \frac{15(1 - p) + 10(1 + 2p) + 6(2 + 3p)}{30} \leq 1 \] ### Step 5: Expand and combine like terms Expanding the numerator: \[ 15 - 15p + 10 + 20p + 12 + 18p \leq 30 \] Combining like terms: \[ (15 + 10 + 12) + (-15p + 20p + 18p) \leq 30 \] This simplifies to: \[ 37 + 23p \leq 30 \] ### Step 6: Solve for \( p \) Subtract 37 from both sides: \[ 23p \leq 30 - 37 \] \[ 23p \leq -7 \] Dividing by 23: \[ p \leq -\frac{7}{23} \] ### Step 7: Find lower bounds for \( p \) Now we need to ensure that each probability \( p_1 \), \( p_2 \), and \( p_3 \) is non-negative. 1. For \( p_1 \): \[ \frac{1}{2}(1 - p) \geq 0 \implies 1 - p \geq 0 \implies p \leq 1 \] 2. For \( p_2 \): \[ \frac{1}{3}(1 + 2p) \geq 0 \implies 1 + 2p \geq 0 \implies p \geq -\frac{1}{2} \] 3. For \( p_3 \): \[ \frac{1}{5}(2 + 3p) \geq 0 \implies 2 + 3p \geq 0 \implies p \geq -\frac{2}{3} \] ### Step 8: Combine the inequalities From the above inequalities, we have: - \( p \leq -\frac{7}{23} \) - \( p \geq -\frac{1}{2} \) - \( p \geq -\frac{2}{3} \) The most restrictive lower bound is \( p \geq -\frac{1}{2} \). ### Step 9: Final range for \( p \) Thus, we combine the bounds: \[ -\frac{1}{2} \leq p \leq -\frac{7}{23} \] ### Conclusion The final range for \( p \) is: \[ p \in \left[-\frac{1}{2}, -\frac{7}{23}\right] \]
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