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Let A, B and C be three mutually exclusi...

Let A, B and C be three mutually exclusive events such that P(A) = `p_(1), P(B) = p_(2) " and " P( C) = p_(3)`. Then,
Let `p_(1) = 1/3(1+3p), p_(2) = 1/4(1-p) " and " p_(3) = 1/4(1-2p)`, then p belongs to

A

(-1, 0)

B

`(-2/3,2/3)`

C

`(-1/3,1)`

D

`(-1/9,1/4)`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the values of \( p \) such that the probabilities \( P(A) \), \( P(B) \), and \( P(C) \) are valid and satisfy the conditions of mutual exclusivity. ### Step 1: Write down the probabilities Given: - \( P(A) = p_1 = \frac{1}{3}(1 + 3p) \) - \( P(B) = p_2 = \frac{1}{4}(1 - p) \) - \( P(C) = p_3 = \frac{1}{4}(1 - 2p) \) ### Step 2: Set up the inequality for the sum of probabilities Since \( A \), \( B \), and \( C \) are mutually exclusive events, we have: \[ P(A \cup B \cup C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) \leq 1 \] This leads to: \[ p_1 + p_2 + p_3 \leq 1 \] ### Step 3: Substitute the values of \( p_1 \), \( p_2 \), and \( p_3 \) Substituting the expressions for \( p_1 \), \( p_2 \), and \( p_3 \): \[ \frac{1}{3}(1 + 3p) + \frac{1}{4}(1 - p) + \frac{1}{4}(1 - 2p) \leq 1 \] ### Step 4: Combine the terms First, simplify the left-hand side: \[ \frac{1}{3}(1 + 3p) + \frac{1}{4}(1 - p) + \frac{1}{4}(1 - 2p) = \frac{1 + 3p}{3} + \frac{1 - p + 1 - 2p}{4} \] Combine the fractions: \[ = \frac{1 + 3p}{3} + \frac{2 - 3p}{4} \] Finding a common denominator (which is 12): \[ = \frac{4(1 + 3p)}{12} + \frac{3(2 - 3p)}{12} = \frac{4 + 12p + 6 - 9p}{12} = \frac{10 + 3p}{12} \] ### Step 5: Set up the inequality Now we have: \[ \frac{10 + 3p}{12} \leq 1 \] Multiply both sides by 12: \[ 10 + 3p \leq 12 \] Subtract 10 from both sides: \[ 3p \leq 2 \] Divide by 3: \[ p \leq \frac{2}{3} \] ### Step 6: Find the lower bounds for \( p \) Now, we also need to ensure that each probability is non-negative: 1. For \( P(A) \geq 0 \): \[ \frac{1}{3}(1 + 3p) \geq 0 \implies 1 + 3p \geq 0 \implies p \geq -\frac{1}{3} \] 2. For \( P(B) \geq 0 \): \[ \frac{1}{4}(1 - p) \geq 0 \implies 1 - p \geq 0 \implies p \leq 1 \] 3. For \( P(C) \geq 0 \): \[ \frac{1}{4}(1 - 2p) \geq 0 \implies 1 - 2p \geq 0 \implies p \leq \frac{1}{2} \] ### Step 7: Combine the inequalities From the inequalities we have: - \( -\frac{1}{3} \leq p \leq \frac{2}{3} \) - \( p \leq 1 \) - \( p \leq \frac{1}{2} \) The most restrictive bounds are: \[ -\frac{1}{3} \leq p \leq \frac{1}{2} \] ### Final Answer Thus, the values of \( p \) belong to the interval: \[ p \in \left[-\frac{1}{3}, \frac{1}{2}\right] \]
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