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A biased coin with probability p, 0ltplt...

A biased coin with probability p, `0ltplt1` of heads is tossed until a head appears for the first time. If the probability that the number of tosses required is even is 2/5, then p equals

A

`2//3`

B

`1//2`

C

`1//3`

D

`1//4`

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AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability \( p \) such that the probability of getting an even number of tosses before getting a head is \( \frac{2}{5} \). ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understanding the Problem**: We are tossing a biased coin until we get a head. The probability of getting heads is \( p \) and the probability of getting tails is \( 1 - p \). We need to find the probability \( p \) such that the probability of the number of tosses being even is \( \frac{2}{5} \). 2. **Identifying Even Toss Outcomes**: The outcomes where we get heads on an even toss can occur in the following ways: - Getting a head on the 2nd toss: This means we get tails on the 1st toss and heads on the 2nd toss. - Getting a head on the 4th toss: This means we get tails on the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd tosses, and heads on the 4th toss. - This pattern continues for all even-numbered tosses. 3. **Calculating the Probability for Even Tosses**: The probability of getting heads on the 2nd toss is: \[ (1 - p) \cdot p \] The probability of getting heads on the 4th toss is: \[ (1 - p)^3 \cdot p \] The probability of getting heads on the 6th toss is: \[ (1 - p)^5 \cdot p \] Thus, the total probability of getting heads on an even toss is: \[ P(\text{even}) = (1 - p)p + (1 - p)^3 p + (1 - p)^5 p + \ldots \] 4. **Factoring Out \( p \)**: We can factor out \( p \): \[ P(\text{even}) = p \left[ (1 - p) + (1 - p)^3 + (1 - p)^5 + \ldots \right] \] 5. **Recognizing the Series**: The series inside the brackets is a geometric series with the first term \( (1 - p) \) and common ratio \( (1 - p)^2 \): \[ S = (1 - p) + (1 - p)^3 + (1 - p)^5 + \ldots \] The sum of an infinite geometric series is given by: \[ S = \frac{a}{1 - r} \] where \( a \) is the first term and \( r \) is the common ratio. Here, \( a = (1 - p) \) and \( r = (1 - p)^2 \): \[ S = \frac{(1 - p)}{1 - (1 - p)^2} = \frac{(1 - p)}{p(2 - p)} \] 6. **Putting It All Together**: Thus, we have: \[ P(\text{even}) = p \cdot \frac{(1 - p)}{p(2 - p)} = \frac{(1 - p)}{(2 - p)} \] We know from the problem statement that: \[ \frac{(1 - p)}{(2 - p)} = \frac{2}{5} \] 7. **Cross-Multiplying**: Cross-multiplying gives: \[ 5(1 - p) = 2(2 - p) \] Expanding both sides: \[ 5 - 5p = 4 - 2p \] 8. **Rearranging the Equation**: Rearranging gives: \[ 5 - 4 = 5p - 2p \implies 1 = 3p \implies p = \frac{1}{3} \] ### Final Answer: Thus, the value of \( p \) is: \[ \boxed{\frac{1}{3}} \]

To solve the problem, we need to find the probability \( p \) such that the probability of getting an even number of tosses before getting a head is \( \frac{2}{5} \). ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understanding the Problem**: We are tossing a biased coin until we get a head. The probability of getting heads is \( p \) and the probability of getting tails is \( 1 - p \). We need to find the probability \( p \) such that the probability of the number of tosses being even is \( \frac{2}{5} \). 2. **Identifying Even Toss Outcomes**: ...
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OBJECTIVE RD SHARMA ENGLISH-PROBABILITY -Section I - Solved Mcqs
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