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A biased coin with probability P,(0 lt p...

A biased coin with probability `P,(0 lt p ,1)` of heads is tossed until a head appear for the first time. If the probability that the number of tosses required is even is `2/5` then `p=`

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To solve the problem, we need to find the value of \( p \) given that the probability of getting heads on an even toss is \( \frac{2}{5} \). ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understanding the Problem**: We are tossing a biased coin until we get heads for the first time. The probability of getting heads is \( p \) and the probability of getting tails is \( 1 - p \). We need to find the probability that the first head appears on an even toss. 2. **Probability of Getting Heads on Even Tosses**: The first head can appear on the 2nd, 4th, 6th, etc. toss. The probability of getting heads on the 2nd toss is: \[ (1 - p) \cdot p \] The probability of getting heads on the 4th toss is: \[ (1 - p)^3 \cdot p \] Similarly, for the 6th toss, it is: \[ (1 - p)^5 \cdot p \] Therefore, the total probability \( P(\text{even}) \) that the first head appears on an even toss is: \[ P(\text{even}) = (1 - p)p + (1 - p)^3 p + (1 - p)^5 p + \ldots \] 3. **Factoring Out \( p \)**: We can factor \( p \) out of the series: \[ P(\text{even}) = p \left[ (1 - p) + (1 - p)^3 + (1 - p)^5 + \ldots \right] \] 4. **Recognizing the Geometric Series**: The series inside the brackets is a geometric series where the first term \( a = (1 - p) \) and the common ratio \( r = (1 - p)^2 \): \[ S = (1 - p) + (1 - p)^3 + (1 - p)^5 + \ldots = \frac{(1 - p)}{1 - (1 - p)^2} \] 5. **Calculating the Denominator**: The denominator simplifies as follows: \[ 1 - (1 - p)^2 = 1 - (1 - 2p + p^2) = 2p - p^2 \] 6. **Putting it All Together**: Now substituting back into our expression for \( P(\text{even}) \): \[ P(\text{even}) = p \cdot \frac{(1 - p)}{2p - p^2} \] 7. **Setting the Equation**: We know that \( P(\text{even}) = \frac{2}{5} \): \[ p \cdot \frac{(1 - p)}{2p - p^2} = \frac{2}{5} \] 8. **Cross Multiplying**: Cross multiplying gives: \[ 5p(1 - p) = 2(2p - p^2) \] 9. **Expanding Both Sides**: Expanding both sides: \[ 5p - 5p^2 = 4p - 2p^2 \] 10. **Rearranging the Equation**: Rearranging gives: \[ 5p^2 - 2p^2 - 5p + 4p = 0 \] This simplifies to: \[ 3p^2 - p = 0 \] 11. **Factoring Out \( p \)**: Factoring out \( p \): \[ p(3p - 1) = 0 \] 12. **Finding the Values of \( p \)**: This gives us two solutions: \[ p = 0 \quad \text{or} \quad 3p - 1 = 0 \Rightarrow p = \frac{1}{3} \] Since \( p \) must be between 0 and 1, we have: \[ p = \frac{1}{3} \] ### Final Answer: \[ p = \frac{1}{3} \]
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