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Given two independent events, if the pro...

Given two independent events, if the probability that both the events occur is `(8)/(49)`, the probability that exactly one of them occurs is `(26)/(49)` and the probability of more probable of the two events is `lambda`, then `14 lambda` is equal to

A

2

B

4

C

8

D

7

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the given problem step by step, we will use the properties of independent events and the provided probabilities. ### Step 1: Define the Events Let \( A \) and \( B \) be two independent events. We know the following: - The probability that both events occur, \( P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{8}{49} \). - The probability that exactly one of the events occurs is given by \( P(A \cup B) - P(A \cap B) = \frac{26}{49} \). ### Step 2: Set Up the Equations From the information provided, we can set up the following equations: 1. \( P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{8}{49} \) (Equation 1) 2. The probability that exactly one of the events occurs can be expressed as: \[ P(A) + P(B) - 2 \cdot P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{26}{49} \] Substituting Equation 1 into this gives: \[ P(A) + P(B) - 2 \cdot \frac{8}{49} = \frac{26}{49} \] ### Step 3: Simplify the Second Equation Rearranging the second equation: \[ P(A) + P(B) - \frac{16}{49} = \frac{26}{49} \] Adding \( \frac{16}{49} \) to both sides: \[ P(A) + P(B) = \frac{26}{49} + \frac{16}{49} = \frac{42}{49} = \frac{6}{7} \] This gives us a second equation (Equation 2): \[ P(A) + P(B) = \frac{6}{7} \] ### Step 4: Solve the System of Equations Now we have two equations: 1. \( P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{8}{49} \) 2. \( P(A) + P(B) = \frac{6}{7} \) Let \( P(A) = x \) and \( P(B) = y \). Then: 1. \( xy = \frac{8}{49} \) 2. \( x + y = \frac{6}{7} \) From the second equation, we can express \( y \) in terms of \( x \): \[ y = \frac{6}{7} - x \] Substituting this into the first equation: \[ x\left(\frac{6}{7} - x\right) = \frac{8}{49} \] Expanding this gives: \[ \frac{6x}{7} - x^2 = \frac{8}{49} \] Multiplying through by \( 49 \) to eliminate the fraction: \[ 49 \cdot \frac{6x}{7} - 49x^2 = 8 \] This simplifies to: \[ 42x - 49x^2 = 8 \] Rearranging gives: \[ 49x^2 - 42x + 8 = 0 \] ### Step 5: Solve the Quadratic Equation Using the quadratic formula \( x = \frac{-b \pm \sqrt{b^2 - 4ac}}{2a} \): Here, \( a = 49 \), \( b = -42 \), and \( c = 8 \): \[ x = \frac{42 \pm \sqrt{(-42)^2 - 4 \cdot 49 \cdot 8}}{2 \cdot 49} \] Calculating the discriminant: \[ (-42)^2 - 4 \cdot 49 \cdot 8 = 1764 - 1568 = 196 \] Thus, \[ x = \frac{42 \pm 14}{98} \] Calculating the two possible values: 1. \( x = \frac{56}{98} = \frac{4}{7} \) 2. \( x = \frac{28}{98} = \frac{2}{7} \) ### Step 6: Determine the Probabilities Thus, we have: - If \( P(A) = \frac{4}{7} \), then \( P(B) = \frac{2}{7} \). - If \( P(A) = \frac{2}{7} \), then \( P(B) = \frac{4}{7} \). ### Step 7: Find \( \lambda \) The more probable of the two events is: \[ \lambda = \frac{4}{7} \] ### Step 8: Calculate \( 14\lambda \) Now, we need to find \( 14\lambda \): \[ 14\lambda = 14 \cdot \frac{4}{7} = 8 \] ### Final Answer Thus, the final answer is: \[ \boxed{8} \]
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