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12 people are asked questions in success...

12 people are asked questions in succession in a random order and exactly 3 out of 12 people know the answer. The probability that the `6^("th")` person asked is the `2^("nd")` person to know the answer, is

A

`(10)/(21)`

B

`(3)/(22)`

C

`(7)/(11)`

D

`(5)/(12)`

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability that the 6th person asked is the 2nd person to know the answer, given that there are 12 people and exactly 3 of them know the answer. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Identify the Total Number of People and Knowledgeable Individuals**: - Total people = 12 - People who know the answer = 3 - People who do not know the answer = 12 - 3 = 9 2. **Define the Event**: - We want the 6th person asked to be the 2nd person who knows the answer. 3. **Conditions for the 6th Person**: - For the 6th person to be the 2nd person who knows the answer, exactly one of the first five people asked must know the answer. 4. **Calculate the Ways to Choose the First Five People**: - We need to choose 1 person who knows the answer from the 3 knowledgeable people. This can be done in \( \binom{3}{1} \) ways. - We also need to choose 4 people who do not know the answer from the 9 who do not know. This can be done in \( \binom{9}{4} \) ways. 5. **Calculate the Total Arrangements of the First Five People**: - The total arrangements of these 5 people (1 who knows and 4 who do not) can be calculated as \( 5! \). 6. **Calculate the Total Arrangements Including the 6th Person**: - The 6th person (who knows the answer) can be added to the arrangement. The remaining 6 people (2 who know and 5 who do not) can be arranged in \( 7! \) ways. 7. **Calculate the Total Outcomes**: - The total number of ways to arrange all 12 people is \( 12! \). 8. **Combine Everything to Find the Probability**: - The probability \( P \) that the 6th person is the 2nd person to know the answer is given by: \[ P = \frac{\text{Ways to arrange the first 5 with 1 knowledgeable}}{\text{Total arrangements of all 12}} \] \[ P = \frac{\binom{3}{1} \cdot \binom{9}{4} \cdot 5! \cdot 7!}{12!} \] 9. **Simplify the Expression**: - Substitute the values: \[ \binom{3}{1} = 3, \quad \binom{9}{4} = \frac{9 \times 8 \times 7 \times 6}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 126 \] - Thus, the probability becomes: \[ P = \frac{3 \cdot 126 \cdot 120 \cdot 5040}{479001600} \] 10. **Final Calculation**: - After simplification, we find that: \[ P = \frac{3 \cdot 126 \cdot 120 \cdot 5040}{12!} = \frac{3 \cdot 126 \cdot 120}{11 \cdot 10 \cdot 9 \cdot 8 \cdot 7 \cdot 6 \cdot 5 \cdot 4 \cdot 3 \cdot 2 \cdot 1} \] - This simplifies to \( \frac{3}{22} \). ### Final Answer: The probability that the 6th person asked is the 2nd person to know the answer is \( \frac{3}{22} \).
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