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The probability of a bomb hitting a brid...

The probability of a bomb hitting a bridge is `(2)/(3)`. Two direct hits are needed to destroy the bridge. The minimum number of bombs required such that the probability of bridge being destroyed is greater than `(3)/(4)`, is

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To solve the problem, we need to determine the minimum number of bombs required such that the probability of the bridge being destroyed (which requires at least 2 direct hits) is greater than \( \frac{3}{4} \). ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define the Probabilities**: - Let \( p = \frac{2}{3} \) be the probability of a bomb hitting the bridge. - The probability of a bomb missing the bridge is \( q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{2}{3} = \frac{1}{3} \). 2. **Determine the Required Probability**: - We need the probability of getting at least 2 hits (successes) to be greater than \( \frac{3}{4} \). - This can be expressed as: \[ P(X \geq 2) > \frac{3}{4} \] - Using the complement rule, this can be rewritten as: \[ 1 - P(X = 0) - P(X = 1) > \frac{3}{4} \] - Therefore: \[ P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) < \frac{1}{4} \] 3. **Calculate \( P(X = 0) \) and \( P(X = 1) \)**: - The probability of getting exactly 0 hits (all bombs miss) when \( n \) bombs are dropped: \[ P(X = 0) = \binom{n}{0} p^0 q^n = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^n = \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^n \] - The probability of getting exactly 1 hit (1 bomb hits and \( n-1 \) bombs miss): \[ P(X = 1) = \binom{n}{1} p^1 q^{n-1} = n \cdot \frac{2}{3} \cdot \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{n-1} = n \cdot \frac{2}{3^n} \] 4. **Combine the Probabilities**: - Now, we combine these probabilities: \[ P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^n + n \cdot \frac{2}{3^n} \] - We want this to be less than \( \frac{1}{4} \): \[ \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^n + n \cdot \frac{2}{3^n} < \frac{1}{4} \] 5. **Test Values of \( n \)**: - Start testing integer values for \( n \) to find the minimum that satisfies the inequality. - **For \( n = 2 \)**: \[ \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^2 + 2 \cdot \frac{2}{3^2} = \frac{1}{9} + \frac{4}{9} = \frac{5}{9} \quad (\text{not less than } \frac{1}{4}) \] - **For \( n = 3 \)**: \[ \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^3 + 3 \cdot \frac{2}{3^3} = \frac{1}{27} + \frac{6}{27} = \frac{7}{27} \quad (\text{not less than } \frac{1}{4}) \] - **For \( n = 4 \)**: \[ \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^4 + 4 \cdot \frac{2}{3^4} = \frac{1}{81} + \frac{8}{81} = \frac{9}{81} = \frac{1}{9} \quad (\text{less than } \frac{1}{4}) \] - **For \( n = 5 \)**: \[ \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^5 + 5 \cdot \frac{2}{3^5} = \frac{1}{243} + \frac{10}{243} = \frac{11}{243} \quad (\text{less than } \frac{1}{4}) \] 6. **Conclusion**: - The minimum number of bombs required such that the probability of the bridge being destroyed is greater than \( \frac{3}{4} \) is \( n = 4 \). ### Final Answer: The minimum number of bombs required is **4**.
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