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An unbiased die is rolled n times. Let P...

An unbiased die is rolled n times. Let P(A), P(B) and P(C ) be the probability of occurrence of an odd number exactly one, two and three times respectively in n trials. If P(A), P(B), P(C ) are in arithmetic progression, then n is equal to

A

4

B

5

C

6

D

7

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To solve the problem step by step, we will calculate the probabilities P(A), P(B), and P(C) based on the rolling of an unbiased die and then determine the value of n such that these probabilities are in arithmetic progression. ### Step 1: Determine the probability of rolling an odd number When a die is rolled, the total outcomes are 6 (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6). The favorable outcomes for rolling an odd number are 3 (1, 3, 5). Thus, the probability of rolling an odd number (p) is: \[ p = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2} \] ### Step 2: Calculate P(A), P(B), and P(C) - **P(A)**: Probability of rolling an odd number exactly once in n trials: \[ P(A) = \binom{n}{1} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^1 \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{n-1} = \binom{n}{1} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n = n \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n \] - **P(B)**: Probability of rolling an odd number exactly twice in n trials: \[ P(B) = \binom{n}{2} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^2 \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{n-2} = \binom{n}{2} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n = \frac{n(n-1)}{2} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n \] - **P(C)**: Probability of rolling an odd number exactly three times in n trials: \[ P(C) = \binom{n}{3} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{n-3} = \binom{n}{3} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n = \frac{n(n-1)(n-2)}{6} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n \] ### Step 3: Set up the arithmetic progression condition Given that P(A), P(B), and P(C) are in arithmetic progression, we have: \[ 2P(B) = P(A) + P(C) \] Substituting the expressions we found: \[ 2 \cdot \frac{n(n-1)}{2} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n = n \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n + \frac{n(n-1)(n-2)}{6} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n \] Cancelling \(\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n\) from both sides (since it is non-zero): \[ n(n-1) = n + \frac{n(n-1)(n-2)}{6} \] ### Step 4: Simplifying the equation Multiply through by 6 to eliminate the fraction: \[ 6n(n-1) = 6n + n(n-1)(n-2) \] Expanding both sides: \[ 6n^2 - 6n = 6n + n^3 - 3n^2 + 2n \] Rearranging gives: \[ n^3 - 3n^2 + 2n - 6n - 6n^2 = 0 \] \[ n^3 - 9n^2 + 2n = 0 \] Factoring out n: \[ n(n^2 - 9n + 2) = 0 \] ### Step 5: Solve the quadratic equation The quadratic equation is: \[ n^2 - 9n + 2 = 0 \] Using the quadratic formula \(n = \frac{-b \pm \sqrt{b^2 - 4ac}}{2a}\): \[ n = \frac{9 \pm \sqrt{(-9)^2 - 4 \cdot 1 \cdot 2}}{2 \cdot 1} = \frac{9 \pm \sqrt{81 - 8}}{2} = \frac{9 \pm \sqrt{73}}{2} \] Calculating the roots gives two values, but we also have \(n = 0\) from the factorization. ### Step 6: Determine valid n Since n must be a positive integer and at least 3 (as per the problem statement), we check the roots: 1. \(n = 7\) (valid) 2. \(n = 2\) (not valid) Thus, the only valid solution is: \[ \boxed{7} \]
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