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Cards are dealt one by one from a well s...

Cards are dealt one by one from a well shuffled pack until an ace appears. Find the chance that exactly n cards are dealt before the first ace.

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To find the probability that exactly \( n \) cards are dealt before the first ace appears, we can follow these steps: ### Step 1: Understanding the Problem We are dealing cards one by one from a standard deck of 52 cards until we encounter the first ace. We want to calculate the probability that the first ace appears after exactly \( n \) cards. ### Step 2: Probability of Not Drawing an Ace For the first \( n \) cards dealt, we need to ensure that none of these cards is an ace. There are 48 non-ace cards in a deck of 52 cards. The probability of drawing \( n \) non-ace cards in a row is given by the combination of choosing \( n \) cards from the 48 non-aces. The total ways to choose \( n \) cards from 52 cards is \( \binom{52}{n} \). Thus, the probability of drawing \( n \) non-ace cards is: \[ P(\text{no ace in } n \text{ cards}) = \frac{\binom{48}{n}}{\binom{52}{n}} \] ### Step 3: Probability of Drawing an Ace After dealing \( n \) non-ace cards, the next card (the \( n+1 \)-th card) must be an ace. There are 4 aces in the deck, and after dealing \( n \) cards, there are \( 52 - n \) cards left. The probability of drawing an ace next is: \[ P(\text{ace on } (n+1)\text{-th card}) = \frac{4}{52 - n} \] ### Step 4: Combining the Probabilities Now, we combine the probabilities from Step 2 and Step 3 to find the total probability that exactly \( n \) cards are dealt before the first ace appears: \[ P(n) = P(\text{no ace in } n \text{ cards}) \times P(\text{ace on } (n+1)\text{-th card}) \] \[ P(n) = \frac{\binom{48}{n}}{\binom{52}{n}} \times \frac{4}{52 - n} \] ### Step 5: Simplifying the Expression Using the formula for combinations, we can express \( P(n) \): \[ P(n) = \frac{\frac{48!}{n!(48-n)!}}{\frac{52!}{n!(52-n)!}} \times \frac{4}{52 - n} \] This simplifies to: \[ P(n) = \frac{48! \cdot (52-n)! \cdot 4}{52! \cdot (48-n)! \cdot (52-n)} \] ### Final Expression After further simplification, we can express the final probability as: \[ P(n) = \frac{48! \cdot 4 \cdot (52-n)!}{52! \cdot (48-n)! \cdot (52-n)} = \frac{4 \cdot (49-n)(50-n)(51-n)}{49 \cdot 50 \cdot 51 \cdot 13} \] ### Conclusion Thus, the probability that exactly \( n \) cards are dealt before the first ace appears is: \[ P(n) = \frac{4 \cdot (49-n)(50-n)(51-n)}{49 \cdot 50 \cdot 51 \cdot 13} \]
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