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There are n urns U(i),(i=1,. . . .,n) wh...

There are n urns `U_(i),(i=1,. . . .,n)` which contains `i` white and (n+1-i) black balls. `U_(i)` is even of selecting the jth urn, W event of getting white ball from the selected urn, E is event of getting even number of balls from selected urn.
Q. `P(U_(i))=(1)/(n)`, and one urn is selected at random, then P(W) is:

A

`1/2`

B

`1/n`

C

`(n)/(n+1)`

D

`(n+1)/(n+2)`

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem step by step, we will calculate the probability of selecting a white ball from the selected urn. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understanding the Urns**: - There are `n` urns, `U_i` where `i = 1, 2, ..., n`. - Each urn `U_i` contains `i` white balls and `(n + 1 - i)` black balls. - The total number of balls in urn `U_i` is `i + (n + 1 - i) = n + 1`. 2. **Probability of Selecting an Urn**: - The probability of selecting any urn `U_i` is given as: \[ P(U_i) = \frac{1}{n} \] 3. **Finding the Total Probability of Getting a White Ball (P(W))**: - We need to find the probability of getting a white ball from a randomly selected urn. This can be calculated using the law of total probability: \[ P(W) = \sum_{i=1}^{n} P(W | U_i) \cdot P(U_i) \] - Here, \( P(W | U_i) \) is the probability of getting a white ball from urn `U_i`. 4. **Calculating P(W | U_i)**: - The probability of drawing a white ball from urn `U_i` is: \[ P(W | U_i) = \frac{\text{Number of white balls in } U_i}{\text{Total number of balls in } U_i} = \frac{i}{n + 1} \] 5. **Substituting into the Total Probability**: - Now substituting \( P(W | U_i) \) and \( P(U_i) \) into the equation for \( P(W) \): \[ P(W) = \sum_{i=1}^{n} \frac{i}{n + 1} \cdot \frac{1}{n} \] - This simplifies to: \[ P(W) = \frac{1}{n(n + 1)} \sum_{i=1}^{n} i \] 6. **Using the Formula for the Sum of First n Natural Numbers**: - The sum of the first `n` natural numbers is given by: \[ \sum_{i=1}^{n} i = \frac{n(n + 1)}{2} \] - Substituting this into the equation for \( P(W) \): \[ P(W) = \frac{1}{n(n + 1)} \cdot \frac{n(n + 1)}{2} = \frac{1}{2} \] ### Final Result: Thus, the probability of getting a white ball from a randomly selected urn is: \[ P(W) = \frac{1}{2} \]
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