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Let H(1),H(2), . . . ,H(n) be mutually e...

Let `H_(1),H_(2), . . . ,H_(n)` be mutually exclusive and exhaustive events with `P(H_(i)) gt 0,i=1,2, . . .n`. Let E be any other event with `0 lt P(E) lt 1`.
STATEMENT-1: `P(H_(i)|E) gtP(E|H_(1)).P(H_(i))` for `i=1,2, . . .,n`
because
STATEMENT-2: `sum_(i=1)^(n)P(H_(i))=1`

A

(a)Statement -1 is true , Statement -2 is true, Statement -2 is a correct explanation for Statement -1

B

(b)Statement -1 is true , Statement -2 is true, Statement -2 is not a correct explanation for Statement -1

C

(c)Statement -1 is true , Statement -2 is false

D

(d)Statement-1 is false, Statement-2 is true

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to analyze the statements provided and verify their validity based on the principles of probability. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understanding the Events**: - We have mutually exclusive and exhaustive events \( H_1, H_2, \ldots, H_n \) such that \( P(H_i) > 0 \) for \( i = 1, 2, \ldots, n \). - The event \( E \) is any event with \( 0 < P(E) < 1 \). 2. **Statement 1**: - We need to prove or disprove that \( P(H_i | E) > P(E | H_i) \cdot P(H_i) \) for \( i = 1, 2, \ldots, n \). - By using Bayes' theorem, we can express \( P(H_i | E) \) as: \[ P(H_i | E) = \frac{P(H_i \cap E)}{P(E)} \] - Therefore, the inequality can be rewritten as: \[ \frac{P(H_i \cap E)}{P(E)} > P(E | H_i) \cdot P(H_i) \] 3. **Using Bayes' Theorem**: - From Bayes' theorem, we know that: \[ P(E | H_i) = \frac{P(H_i \cap E)}{P(H_i)} \] - Substituting this into our inequality gives: \[ \frac{P(H_i \cap E)}{P(E)} > \frac{P(H_i \cap E)}{P(H_i)} \cdot P(H_i) \] - This simplifies to: \[ \frac{P(H_i \cap E)}{P(E)} > P(H_i \cap E) \] 4. **Rearranging the Inequality**: - Rearranging gives: \[ P(H_i \cap E) > P(E) \cdot P(H_i \cap E) \] - Since \( P(H_i \cap E) > 0 \), we can divide both sides by \( P(H_i \cap E) \) (which is valid as long as it is not zero): \[ 1 > P(E) \] - This is always true since \( 0 < P(E) < 1 \). 5. **Conclusion for Statement 1**: - Thus, we conclude that Statement 1 is true. 6. **Statement 2**: - The statement is \( \sum_{i=1}^{n} P(H_i) = 1 \). - This is a fundamental property of mutually exclusive and exhaustive events, which is always true. 7. **Final Conclusion**: - Both statements are true, but Statement 2 does not serve as an explanation for Statement 1. Therefore, the correct conclusion is that both statements are true, but Statement 2 is not the correct explanation for Statement 1. ### Final Answer: - Statement 1 is true. - Statement 2 is true. - Statement 2 is not a correct explanation for Statement 1.
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