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Three independent events. A(1), A(2) and...

Three independent events. `A_(1), A_(2)` and `A_(3)` occur with probabilities `P(A_(i))= 1/(1+i) ,i=1, 2, 3`. What is the probability that at least one of the three events occurs?

A

`(1)/(4)`

B

`(2)/(3)`

C

`(3)/(4)`

D

`(1)/(24)`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To find the probability that at least one of the three independent events \( A_1, A_2, \) and \( A_3 \) occurs, we can follow these steps: ### Step 1: Determine the probabilities of each event Given the probabilities: - \( P(A_1) = \frac{1}{1+1} = \frac{1}{2} \) - \( P(A_2) = \frac{1}{1+2} = \frac{1}{3} \) - \( P(A_3) = \frac{1}{1+3} = \frac{1}{4} \) ### Step 2: Calculate the probabilities of the complements of each event The complements of the events are: - \( P(A_1') = 1 - P(A_1) = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2} \) - \( P(A_2') = 1 - P(A_2) = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \) - \( P(A_3') = 1 - P(A_3) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \) ### Step 3: Calculate the probability that none of the events occur Since the events are independent, the probability that none of the events occur is given by: \[ P(A_1' \cap A_2' \cap A_3') = P(A_1') \times P(A_2') \times P(A_3') \] Calculating this: \[ P(A_1' \cap A_2' \cap A_3') = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{3}{4} \] \[ = \frac{1 \times 2 \times 3}{2 \times 3 \times 4} = \frac{6}{24} = \frac{1}{4} \] ### Step 4: Calculate the probability that at least one event occurs The probability that at least one of the events occurs is: \[ P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup A_3) = 1 - P(A_1' \cap A_2' \cap A_3') \] Substituting the value we found: \[ P(A_1 \cup A_2 \cup A_3) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \] ### Final Answer Thus, the probability that at least one of the three events occurs is \( \frac{3}{4} \). ---
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