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In a series of 3 one-day cricket matches...

In a series of 3 one-day cricket matches between teams A and B of a college, the probability of team A winning or drawings are `(1)/(3)` and `(1)/(6)` respectively. If A win, lose or draw gives 2, 0 and 1 point respectively, then what is the probability that team A will score 5 points in the series?

A

`(17)/(18)`

B

`(11)/(12)`

C

`(1)/(12)`

D

`(1)/(18)`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To find the probability that team A will score 5 points in the series of 3 matches, we need to analyze the scoring system and the probabilities given. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understand the Points System**: - Team A earns: - 2 points for a win (W) - 0 points for a loss (L) - 1 point for a draw (D) 2. **Determine Combinations for 5 Points**: - To score exactly 5 points, team A can achieve this by winning 2 matches and drawing 1 match. The possible combinations of outcomes (W, D) in 3 matches are: - WW(D) - W(D)W - DWW 3. **Calculate the Probability of Each Combination**: - The probabilities given are: - Probability of winning (P(W)) = 1/3 - Probability of drawing (P(D)) = 1/6 - Probability of losing (P(L)) = 1 - P(W) - P(D) = 1 - 1/3 - 1/6 = 1/2 4. **Calculate the Probability for Each Outcome**: - For each combination, we will calculate the probability: - For WW(D): \[ P(WWD) = P(W) \times P(W) \times P(D) = \left(\frac{1}{3}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{3}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) = \frac{1}{54} \] - For W(D)W: \[ P(WDW) = P(W) \times P(D) \times P(W) = \left(\frac{1}{3}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{3}\right) = \frac{1}{54} \] - For DWW: \[ P(DWW) = P(D) \times P(W) \times P(W) = \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{3}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{3}\right) = \frac{1}{54} \] 5. **Sum the Probabilities**: - Now, we sum the probabilities of all combinations that yield 5 points: \[ P(5 \text{ points}) = P(WWD) + P(WDW) + P(DWW) = \frac{1}{54} + \frac{1}{54} + \frac{1}{54} = \frac{3}{54} = \frac{1}{18} \] ### Final Answer: The probability that team A will score 5 points in the series is \(\frac{1}{18}\). ---
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