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If X is a binomial variate with mean 10 ...

If X is a binomial variate with mean 10 and variance 5 then find `P(X le 1)`.

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To solve the problem, we need to find \( P(X \leq 1) \) for a binomial random variable \( X \) with a mean of 10 and a variance of 5. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Identify the Mean and Variance Formulas**: The mean \( \mu \) and variance \( \sigma^2 \) of a binomial distribution are given by: \[ \mu = nP \quad \text{(1)} \] \[ \sigma^2 = nPQ \quad \text{(2)} \] where \( n \) is the number of trials, \( P \) is the probability of success, and \( Q = 1 - P \) is the probability of failure. 2. **Set Up the Equations**: From the problem, we know: \[ nP = 10 \quad \text{(from the mean)} \] \[ nPQ = 5 \quad \text{(from the variance)} \] 3. **Express \( Q \) in Terms of \( P \)**: Since \( Q = 1 - P \), we can substitute \( Q \) into equation (2): \[ nP(1 - P) = 5 \quad \text{(3)} \] 4. **Substitute \( nP \) from Equation (1) into Equation (3)**: From equation (1), we can express \( n \) as: \[ n = \frac{10}{P} \] Substitute this into equation (3): \[ \frac{10}{P} P (1 - P) = 5 \] Simplifying gives: \[ 10(1 - P) = 5 \] \[ 10 - 10P = 5 \] \[ 10P = 5 \quad \Rightarrow \quad P = 0.5 \] 5. **Find \( Q \)**: Now that we have \( P \): \[ Q = 1 - P = 1 - 0.5 = 0.5 \] 6. **Find \( n \)**: Substitute \( P \) back into equation (1) to find \( n \): \[ nP = 10 \quad \Rightarrow \quad n(0.5) = 10 \quad \Rightarrow \quad n = 20 \] 7. **Calculate \( P(X \leq 1) \)**: We need to find \( P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) \). - **Calculate \( P(X = 0) \)**: \[ P(X = 0) = \binom{20}{0} (0.5)^0 (0.5)^{20} = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot (0.5)^{20} = (0.5)^{20} \] - **Calculate \( P(X = 1) \)**: \[ P(X = 1) = \binom{20}{1} (0.5)^1 (0.5)^{19} = 20 \cdot (0.5) \cdot (0.5)^{19} = 20 \cdot (0.5)^{20} \] 8. **Combine the Probabilities**: \[ P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = (0.5)^{20} + 20 \cdot (0.5)^{20} = (0.5)^{20} (1 + 20) = 21 \cdot (0.5)^{20} \] 9. **Final Expression**: \[ P(X \leq 1) = \frac{21}{2^{20}} \] ### Final Answer: \[ P(X \leq 1) = \frac{21}{2^{20}} \]
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