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Statement I : A fair coin is tossed 100 ...

Statement I : A fair coin is tossed 100 times .
The probability of getting tails an odd number of times is 1/2 .
Statement II : A fair coin is tossed 99 times .
The probability of getting tails an odd number of times is 1/2
Then which of the above statements are true .

A

only I

B

only II

C

both I and II

D

neither I nor II

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To determine the truth of the two statements regarding the probability of getting tails an odd number of times when tossing a fair coin, we will analyze each statement step by step. ### Step-by-Step Solution: **Step 1: Analyze Statement I** - We have a fair coin tossed 100 times. - Let \( X \) be the number of tails obtained. - The possible outcomes for \( X \) can be 0, 1, 2, ..., 100. - We want to find the probability of \( X \) being odd, i.e., \( P(X \text{ is odd}) \). **Step 2: Use the Binomial Distribution** - The number of tails follows a binomial distribution: \( X \sim \text{Binomial}(n=100, p=0.5) \). - The probability of getting exactly \( k \) tails in 100 tosses is given by: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{100}{k} \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^{100} \] - We need to sum this probability for all odd \( k \): \[ P(X \text{ is odd}) = \sum_{k=1,3,5,\ldots}^{99} P(X = k) = \sum_{k=1,3,5,\ldots}^{99} \binom{100}{k} \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^{100} \] **Step 3: Use the Binomial Theorem** - By the binomial theorem: \[ (p + q)^n = \sum_{k=0}^{n} \binom{n}{k} p^k q^{n-k} \] - For \( p = q = \frac{1}{2} \) and \( n = 100 \): \[ \left( \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} \right)^{100} = 1 = \sum_{k=0}^{100} \binom{100}{k} \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^{100} \] - The sum of probabilities for odd \( k \) and even \( k \) is equal, thus: \[ P(X \text{ is odd}) + P(X \text{ is even}) = 1 \] - Since there are equal numbers of odd and even outcomes: \[ P(X \text{ is odd}) = \frac{1}{2} \] **Step 4: Conclusion for Statement I** - Therefore, Statement I is true: The probability of getting tails an odd number of times when tossing a fair coin 100 times is indeed \( \frac{1}{2} \). --- **Step 5: Analyze Statement II** - Now consider a fair coin tossed 99 times. - Again, let \( Y \) be the number of tails obtained. - Similar to the previous case, \( Y \) follows a binomial distribution: \( Y \sim \text{Binomial}(n=99, p=0.5) \). **Step 6: Calculate Probability for Odd Tails** - We want to find \( P(Y \text{ is odd}) \): \[ P(Y \text{ is odd}) = \sum_{k=1,3,5,\ldots}^{99} P(Y = k) \] - Using the same reasoning as before: \[ P(Y \text{ is odd}) + P(Y \text{ is even}) = 1 \] - Since there are equal numbers of odd and even outcomes: \[ P(Y \text{ is odd}) = \frac{1}{2} \] **Step 7: Conclusion for Statement II** - Therefore, Statement II is also true: The probability of getting tails an odd number of times when tossing a fair coin 99 times is \( \frac{1}{2} \). --- ### Final Conclusion Both statements are true.
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