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A box contain three coins, one coin is f...

A box contain three coins, one coin is fair, one coin is two-headed, and one coin is weighted so that the probability of heads, appearing is 1/3 . A coin is selected at random and tossed. Then the probability that heads appears is

A

`(11)/(18)`

B

`(12)/(18)`

C

`(13)/(18)`

D

`(14)/(18)`

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem step by step, we will calculate the probability of getting heads when a coin is selected at random from a box containing three different coins: a fair coin, a two-headed coin, and a weighted coin. ### Step 1: Define the coins and their probabilities of heads - Let \( F \) be the fair coin: Probability of heads \( P(H|F) = \frac{1}{2} \) - Let \( T \) be the two-headed coin: Probability of heads \( P(H|T) = 1 \) - Let \( W \) be the weighted coin: Probability of heads \( P(H|W) = \frac{1}{3} \) ### Step 2: Determine the probability of selecting each coin Since there are three coins and they are selected at random, the probability of selecting each coin is: - \( P(F) = \frac{1}{3} \) - \( P(T) = \frac{1}{3} \) - \( P(W) = \frac{1}{3} \) ### Step 3: Use the law of total probability to find the overall probability of heads The total probability of getting heads \( P(H) \) can be calculated using the formula: \[ P(H) = P(F) \cdot P(H|F) + P(T) \cdot P(H|T) + P(W) \cdot P(H|W) \] Substituting the values we have: \[ P(H) = \left(\frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{2}\right) + \left(\frac{1}{3} \cdot 1\right) + \left(\frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{3}\right) \] ### Step 4: Calculate each term 1. For the fair coin: \[ P(F) \cdot P(H|F) = \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{6} \] 2. For the two-headed coin: \[ P(T) \cdot P(H|T) = \frac{1}{3} \cdot 1 = \frac{1}{3} \] 3. For the weighted coin: \[ P(W) \cdot P(H|W) = \frac{1}{3} \cdot \frac{1}{3} = \frac{1}{9} \] ### Step 5: Combine the probabilities Now, we need to add these probabilities together: \[ P(H) = \frac{1}{6} + \frac{1}{3} + \frac{1}{9} \] ### Step 6: Find a common denominator The least common multiple of 6, 3, and 9 is 18. We will convert each fraction: - \( \frac{1}{6} = \frac{3}{18} \) - \( \frac{1}{3} = \frac{6}{18} \) - \( \frac{1}{9} = \frac{2}{18} \) ### Step 7: Add the fractions Now we can add them: \[ P(H) = \frac{3}{18} + \frac{6}{18} + \frac{2}{18} = \frac{3 + 6 + 2}{18} = \frac{11}{18} \] ### Final Answer The probability that heads appears when a coin is selected at random and tossed is: \[ \boxed{\frac{11}{18}} \]
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