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Given two independent events, if the pro...

Given two independent events, if the probability that exactly one of them occurs is 26/49 and the probability that none of them occurs is 15/49, then the probability of more probable of two events is

A

`(4)/(7)`

B

`(6)/(7)`

C

`(3)/(7)`

D

`(5)/(7)`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probabilities of two independent events A and B, given the probabilities of exactly one of them occurring and none of them occurring. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define the Probabilities:** Let \( P(A) = a \) and \( P(B) = b \). The probabilities of not occurring are \( P(A') = 1 - a \) and \( P(B') = 1 - b \). 2. **Use the Given Information:** We know: - The probability that exactly one of them occurs is given by: \[ P(A \cap B') + P(A' \cap B = 26/49 \] This can be expressed as: \[ ab' + a'b = a(1-b) + b(1-a) = 26/49 \] Simplifying this gives: \[ a + b - 2ab = \frac{26}{49} \quad \text{(Equation 1)} \] 3. **Probability that None Occurs:** The probability that none of them occurs is given by: \[ P(A') \cap P(B') = (1 - a)(1 - b) = 15/49 \] Expanding this gives: \[ 1 - a - b + ab = \frac{15}{49} \] Rearranging this gives: \[ -a - b + ab = \frac{15}{49} - 1 \] Simplifying this leads to: \[ ab - a - b = -\frac{34}{49} \quad \text{(Equation 2)} \] 4. **Combine Equations:** Now we have two equations: - From Equation 1: \( a + b - 2ab = \frac{26}{49} \) - From Equation 2: \( ab - a - b = -\frac{34}{49} \) We can rewrite Equation 2 as: \[ ab - a - b = -\frac{34}{49} \implies ab - a - b + 34/49 = 0 \] 5. **Substituting and Solving:** From Equation 1, we can express \( a + b \): \[ a + b = 2ab + \frac{26}{49} \] Substitute this into Equation 2: \[ ab - (2ab + \frac{26}{49}) = -\frac{34}{49} \] Simplifying gives: \[ -ab - \frac{26}{49} = -\frac{34}{49} \implies ab = \frac{8}{49} \] 6. **Finding \( a + b \):** Substitute \( ab = \frac{8}{49} \) back into Equation 1: \[ a + b = 2 \cdot \frac{8}{49} + \frac{26}{49} = \frac{16}{49} + \frac{26}{49} = \frac{42}{49} \] 7. **Using the Quadratic Formula:** We have: - \( a + b = \frac{42}{49} \) - \( ab = \frac{8}{49} \) The values of \( a \) and \( b \) are the roots of the quadratic equation: \[ x^2 - (a+b)x + ab = 0 \implies x^2 - \frac{42}{49}x + \frac{8}{49} = 0 \] 8. **Calculating the Roots:** Using the quadratic formula \( x = \frac{-b \pm \sqrt{b^2 - 4ac}}{2a} \): \[ x = \frac{\frac{42}{49} \pm \sqrt{\left(\frac{42}{49}\right)^2 - 4 \cdot \frac{8}{49}}}{2} \] Simplifying gives: \[ x = \frac{\frac{42}{49} \pm \sqrt{\frac{1764}{2401} - \frac{32}{49}}}{2} \] Continuing to simplify leads to: \[ x = \frac{\frac{42}{49} \pm \frac{14}{49}}{2} \] 9. **Finding the Probabilities:** This results in: - \( a = \frac{4}{7} \) - \( b = \frac{2}{7} \) 10. **Conclusion:** The probability of the more probable event is: \[ \text{The answer is } \frac{4}{7}. \]
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