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Three dice, red, blue and green in colou...

Three dice, red, blue and green in colour are rolled together. Let B be the event that sum of the numbers shown up is 7. Let A be the event that the red die shows 1. The conditional probability of the events A given B, P (A|B) is

A

`(2)/(7)`

B

`(1)/(6)`

C

`(1)/(7)`

D

`(1)/(3)`

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To solve the problem, we need to find the conditional probability \( P(A|B) \), where: - \( A \) is the event that the red die shows 1. - \( B \) is the event that the sum of the numbers shown on the three dice is 7. ### Step 1: Calculate \( P(A) \) The event \( A \) occurs when the red die shows 1. The other two dice (blue and green) can show any number from 1 to 6. The total number of outcomes when rolling three dice is \( 6 \times 6 \times 6 = 216 \). When the red die shows 1, the blue and green dice can take any of the 6 values each. Therefore, the number of favorable outcomes for event \( A \) is: \[ \text{Favorable outcomes for } A = 6 \times 6 = 36 \] Thus, the probability of \( A \) is: \[ P(A) = \frac{\text{Favorable outcomes for } A}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{36}{216} = \frac{1}{6} \] ### Step 2: Calculate \( P(B) \) Next, we need to find the probability of event \( B \), which is the event that the sum of the numbers on the three dice is 7. We can list the combinations that give a sum of 7: 1. (1, 1, 5) 2. (1, 2, 4) 3. (1, 3, 3) 4. (2, 2, 3) Now, we need to count the arrangements for each combination: - For (1, 1, 5): There are \( \frac{3!}{2!1!} = 3 \) arrangements. - For (1, 2, 4): There are \( 3! = 6 \) arrangements. - For (1, 3, 3): There are \( \frac{3!}{2!1!} = 3 \) arrangements. - For (2, 2, 3): There are \( \frac{3!}{2!1!} = 3 \) arrangements. Now we sum these arrangements: \[ \text{Total arrangements for } B = 3 + 6 + 3 + 3 = 15 \] Thus, the probability of \( B \) is: \[ P(B) = \frac{\text{Favorable outcomes for } B}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{15}{216} \] ### Step 3: Calculate \( P(A \cap B) \) Now we need to find the intersection \( P(A \cap B) \), which is the probability that the red die shows 1 and the sum of the three dice is 7. If the red die shows 1, we need the blue and green dice to sum to \( 7 - 1 = 6 \). The pairs that sum to 6 are: 1. (1, 5) 2. (2, 4) 3. (3, 3) 4. (4, 2) 5. (5, 1) Counting the arrangements: - (1, 5): 2 arrangements (1, 5) and (5, 1) - (2, 4): 2 arrangements (2, 4) and (4, 2) - (3, 3): 1 arrangement (3, 3) Thus, the total arrangements for \( A \cap B \) is: \[ \text{Total arrangements for } A \cap B = 2 + 2 + 1 = 5 \] Therefore, the probability of \( A \cap B \) is: \[ P(A \cap B) = \frac{5}{216} \] ### Step 4: Calculate \( P(A|B) \) Now we can find the conditional probability \( P(A|B) \): \[ P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \frac{\frac{5}{216}}{\frac{15}{216}} = \frac{5}{15} = \frac{1}{3} \] ### Final Answer Thus, the conditional probability \( P(A|B) \) is: \[ \boxed{\frac{1}{3}} \]
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