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If P(A) = 0 . 4 , P(B')= 0.6 and P(A cap...

If P(A) = 0 . 4 , P(B')= 0.6 and `P(A cap B)` = 0 . 15, then the value of `P(A//A'cup B')` is

A

`(1)/(17)`

B

`(4)/(17)`

C

`(5)/(17)`

D

`(10)/(17)`

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To find the value of \( P(A | A' \cup B') \), we can use the formula for conditional probability: \[ P(A | A' \cup B') = \frac{P(A \cap (A' \cup B'))}{P(A' \cup B')} \] ### Step 1: Calculate \( P(A' \cup B') \) Using the formula for the union of two events: \[ P(A' \cup B') = P(A') + P(B') - P(A' \cap B') \] We know \( P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6 \) and \( P(B') = 0.6 \). Next, we need to find \( P(A' \cap B') \). We can use the complement of the intersection of events: \[ P(A' \cap B') = 1 - P(A \cup B) \] Using the formula for the union of two events: \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \] We have \( P(A) = 0.4 \) and \( P(A \cap B) = 0.15 \). To find \( P(B) \), we can use the relationship \( P(B') = 1 - P(B) \): \[ P(B) = 1 - P(B') = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4 \] Now substituting into the union formula: \[ P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) = 0.4 + 0.4 - 0.15 = 0.65 \] Now we can find \( P(A' \cap B') \): \[ P(A' \cap B') = 1 - P(A \cup B) = 1 - 0.65 = 0.35 \] Now substituting back to find \( P(A' \cup B') \): \[ P(A' \cup B') = P(A') + P(B') - P(A' \cap B') = 0.6 + 0.6 - 0.35 = 0.85 \] ### Step 2: Calculate \( P(A \cap (A' \cup B')) \) Since \( A \cap (A' \cup B') = (A \cap A') \cup (A \cap B') \), and \( A \cap A' \) is empty (probability is 0), we have: \[ P(A \cap (A' \cup B')) = P(A \cap B') \] Now, we can find \( P(A \cap B') \): \[ P(A \cap B') = P(A) - P(A \cap B) = 0.4 - 0.15 = 0.25 \] ### Step 3: Substitute into the conditional probability formula Now we can substitute back into the conditional probability formula: \[ P(A | A' \cup B') = \frac{P(A \cap (A' \cup B'))}{P(A' \cup B')} = \frac{0.25}{0.85} \] ### Step 4: Simplify the fraction To simplify \( \frac{0.25}{0.85} \): \[ \frac{0.25}{0.85} = \frac{25}{85} = \frac{5}{17} \] Thus, the value of \( P(A | A' \cup B') \) is: \[ \boxed{\frac{5}{17}} \]
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