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The probability of a man hitting a targe...

The probability of a man hitting a target is `(2)/(5)` . He fires at the target k times (k, a given number) . Then the minimum k, so that the probability of hitting the targer at least once is more than `(7)/(10)`, is

A

3

B

5

C

2

D

4

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the minimum value of \( k \) such that the probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than \( \frac{7}{10} \). ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Identify the Probability of Hitting and Not Hitting the Target:** - The probability of hitting the target, \( P(H) = \frac{2}{5} \). - The probability of not hitting the target, \( P(NH) = 1 - P(H) = 1 - \frac{2}{5} = \frac{3}{5} \). 2. **Probability of Not Hitting the Target in \( k \) Shots:** - The probability of not hitting the target in \( k \) shots is given by: \[ P(NH \text{ in } k \text{ shots}) = \left( \frac{3}{5} \right)^k \] 3. **Probability of Hitting the Target at Least Once:** - The probability of hitting the target at least once in \( k \) shots is: \[ P(H \text{ at least once}) = 1 - P(NH \text{ in } k \text{ shots}) = 1 - \left( \frac{3}{5} \right)^k \] 4. **Set Up the Inequality:** - We want this probability to be greater than \( \frac{7}{10} \): \[ 1 - \left( \frac{3}{5} \right)^k > \frac{7}{10} \] 5. **Rearranging the Inequality:** - Rearranging gives: \[ \left( \frac{3}{5} \right)^k < 1 - \frac{7}{10} \] - Simplifying the right side: \[ 1 - \frac{7}{10} = \frac{3}{10} \] - Thus, we have: \[ \left( \frac{3}{5} \right)^k < \frac{3}{10} \] 6. **Taking Logarithms:** - Taking logarithm on both sides: \[ k \cdot \log\left( \frac{3}{5} \right) < \log\left( \frac{3}{10} \right) \] - Since \( \log\left( \frac{3}{5} \right) \) is negative, we can reverse the inequality: \[ k > \frac{\log\left( \frac{3}{10} \right)}{\log\left( \frac{3}{5} \right)} \] 7. **Calculating the Values:** - Using logarithm values: - \( \log(3) \approx 0.4771 \) - \( \log(5) \approx 0.6990 \) - \( \log(10) = 1 \) - Therefore: \[ \log\left( \frac{3}{10} \right) = \log(3) - \log(10) \approx 0.4771 - 1 = -0.5229 \] \[ \log\left( \frac{3}{5} \right) = \log(3) - \log(5) \approx 0.4771 - 0.6990 = -0.2219 \] - Now substituting: \[ k > \frac{-0.5229}{-0.2219} \approx 2.36 \] 8. **Finding Minimum Integer Value of \( k \):** - Since \( k \) must be an integer, we round up: \[ k \geq 3 \] ### Conclusion: The minimum value of \( k \) such that the probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than \( \frac{7}{10} \) is \( k = 3 \).
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