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Three mountaineers Amit ,Vinit and Nishi...

Three mountaineers Amit ,Vinit and Nishit are climbing up a mountain with their respective probabilities of reaching the summit being `(1)/(3),(1)/(5)and(1)/(4)` respectively .What is the probability that Exactly one of them reaches Summit ?

A

A)`(13)/(30)`

B

B)`(17)/(30)`

C

C)`(19)/(30)`

D

D)`(11)/(30)`

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem of finding the probability that exactly one of the three mountaineers (Amit, Vinit, and Nishit) reaches the summit, we will follow these steps: ### Step 1: Identify the probabilities - The probability that Amit reaches the summit, \( P(A) = \frac{1}{3} \) - The probability that Vinit reaches the summit, \( P(V) = \frac{1}{5} \) - The probability that Nishit reaches the summit, \( P(N) = \frac{1}{4} \) ### Step 2: Calculate the probabilities of not reaching the summit - The probability that Amit does not reach the summit, \( P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \) - The probability that Vinit does not reach the summit, \( P(V') = 1 - P(V) = 1 - \frac{1}{5} = \frac{4}{5} \) - The probability that Nishit does not reach the summit, \( P(N') = 1 - P(N) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \) ### Step 3: Calculate the probability for each scenario where exactly one mountaineer reaches the summit 1. **Amit reaches, Vinit and Nishit do not reach:** \[ P(A \cap V' \cap N') = P(A) \times P(V') \times P(N') = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{4}{5} \times \frac{3}{4} \] Simplifying this: \[ = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{4}{5} \times \frac{3}{4} = \frac{1 \times 4 \times 3}{3 \times 5 \times 4} = \frac{12}{60} = \frac{1}{5} \] 2. **Vinit reaches, Amit and Nishit do not reach:** \[ P(A' \cap V \cap N') = P(A') \times P(V) \times P(N') = \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{5} \times \frac{3}{4} \] Simplifying this: \[ = \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{5} \times \frac{3}{4} = \frac{2 \times 1 \times 3}{3 \times 5 \times 4} = \frac{6}{60} = \frac{1}{10} \] 3. **Nishit reaches, Amit and Vinit do not reach:** \[ P(A' \cap V' \cap N) = P(A') \times P(V') \times P(N) = \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{4}{5} \times \frac{1}{4} \] Simplifying this: \[ = \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{4}{5} \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{2 \times 4 \times 1}{3 \times 5 \times 4} = \frac{8}{60} = \frac{2}{15} \] ### Step 4: Add the probabilities of all three scenarios Now, we sum the probabilities from the three scenarios: \[ P(\text{exactly one reaches}) = P(A \cap V' \cap N') + P(A' \cap V \cap N') + P(A' \cap V' \cap N) \] \[ = \frac{1}{5} + \frac{1}{10} + \frac{2}{15} \] ### Step 5: Find a common denominator and sum the fractions The least common multiple of 5, 10, and 15 is 30. We convert each fraction: - \( \frac{1}{5} = \frac{6}{30} \) - \( \frac{1}{10} = \frac{3}{30} \) - \( \frac{2}{15} = \frac{4}{30} \) Now we can sum them: \[ = \frac{6}{30} + \frac{3}{30} + \frac{4}{30} = \frac{6 + 3 + 4}{30} = \frac{13}{30} \] ### Final Answer The probability that exactly one of them reaches the summit is \( \frac{13}{30} \). ---
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