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Suppose that the reliability of a HIV t...

Suppose that the reliability of a HIV test is specified as follows: Of people having HIV. 90% of the test detects the disease but 10% go undetected. Of people free of HIV, 99% of the test are judged HTV-ive but 1% are diagnosed as showing H3V+ive. From a large population of which only 0.1% have HIV one person is selected at random, given the HIV test, and the pathologist reports him/her as HIV+ive. What is the probability that the person actually has HIV?

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