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A random variable X takes values 0, 1, 2...

A random variable X takes values 0, 1, 2, 3,… with probability proportional to `(x+1)((1)/(5))^x`.
`P(Xge2)` equals

A

`(11)/(25)`

B

`(13)/(25)`

C

`(11)/(125)`

D

`(13)/(125)`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find \( P(X \geq 2) \) for the random variable \( X \) which takes values \( 0, 1, 2, 3, \ldots \) with probabilities proportional to \( (x+1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \). ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define the Probability Function**: The probability \( P(X = x) \) is proportional to \( (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \). We can express this as: \[ P(X = x) = k (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \] where \( k \) is a normalization constant. 2. **Find the Normalization Constant \( k \)**: To find \( k \), we need to ensure that the total probability sums to 1: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} P(X = x) = 1 \] This gives us: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} k (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = 1 \] We can factor out \( k \): \[ k \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = 1 \] 3. **Calculate the Sum**: The sum \( \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \) can be split into two parts: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} x \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x + \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x \] The second sum is a geometric series: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = \frac{1}{1 - \frac{1}{5}} = \frac{5}{4} \] The first sum can be calculated using the formula for the expected value of a geometric distribution: \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} x r^x = \frac{r}{(1 - r)^2} \quad \text{for } r = \frac{1}{5} \] Thus, \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} x \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = \frac{\frac{1}{5}}{\left(1 - \frac{1}{5}\right)^2} = \frac{\frac{1}{5}}{\left(\frac{4}{5}\right)^2} = \frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{25}{16} = \frac{5}{16} \] Therefore, \[ \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (x + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^x = \frac{5}{16} + \frac{5}{4} = \frac{5}{16} + \frac{20}{16} = \frac{25}{16} \] 4. **Solve for \( k \)**: Now substituting back: \[ k \cdot \frac{25}{16} = 1 \implies k = \frac{16}{25} \] 5. **Calculate \( P(X \geq 2) \)**: We can find \( P(X \geq 2) \) using: \[ P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X = 0) - P(X = 1) \] First, calculate \( P(X = 0) \): \[ P(X = 0) = k (0 + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^0 = \frac{16}{25} \cdot 1 = \frac{16}{25} \] Next, calculate \( P(X = 1) \): \[ P(X = 1) = k (1 + 1) \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^1 = \frac{16}{25} \cdot 2 \cdot \frac{1}{5} = \frac{32}{125} \] Now substituting into \( P(X \geq 2) \): \[ P(X \geq 2) = 1 - \frac{16}{25} - \frac{32}{125} \] Convert \( \frac{16}{25} \) to a fraction with a denominator of 125: \[ \frac{16}{25} = \frac{80}{125} \] Thus, \[ P(X \geq 2) = 1 - \frac{80}{125} - \frac{32}{125} = 1 - \frac{112}{125} = \frac{13}{125} \] ### Final Answer: \[ P(X \geq 2) = \frac{13}{125} \]
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