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Given two events A and B. If odds agains...

Given two events A and B. If odds against A are 2 : 1 and those in fovour of `AcupB` are as 3 : 1, then

A

`1/2leP(B)le3/9`

B

`5/12leP(B)le3/4`

C

`1/2leP(B)le3/5`

D

`1/3leP(B)le3/4`

Text Solution

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability of event B given the odds against event A and the odds in favor of the union of events A and B. Let's break it down step by step. ### Step 1: Understand the odds against A The odds against event A are given as 2:1. This means that for every 2 occurrences of A not happening, A happens once. - The probability of A not happening (A complement) can be calculated as: \[ P(A') = \frac{2}{2 + 1} = \frac{2}{3} \] - Therefore, the probability of event A happening is: \[ P(A) = 1 - P(A') = 1 - \frac{2}{3} = \frac{1}{3} \] ### Step 2: Understand the odds in favor of A ∪ B The odds in favor of A ∪ B are given as 3:1. This means that for every 3 occurrences of A ∪ B happening, there is 1 occurrence of it not happening. - The probability of A ∪ B can be calculated as: \[ P(A ∪ B) = \frac{3}{3 + 1} = \frac{3}{4} \] ### Step 3: Use the formula for the probability of the union of two events We know that: \[ P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B) \] From the above, we can rearrange it to find P(B): \[ P(B) = P(A ∪ B) - P(A) + P(A ∩ B) \] ### Step 4: Establish inequalities for P(B) Since \( P(A ∩ B) \) cannot be negative, we can establish the following inequality: \[ P(A ∪ B) \leq P(A) + P(B) \] Substituting the known values: \[ \frac{3}{4} \leq \frac{1}{3} + P(B) \] This simplifies to: \[ P(B) \geq \frac{3}{4} - \frac{1}{3} \] Finding a common denominator (12): \[ P(B) \geq \frac{9}{12} - \frac{4}{12} = \frac{5}{12} \] ### Step 5: Establish the upper limit for P(B) Since \( P(B) \) must also be less than or equal to \( P(A ∪ B) \): \[ P(B) \leq P(A ∪ B) = \frac{3}{4} \] ### Step 6: Combine the inequalities Now we have: \[ \frac{5}{12} \leq P(B) \leq \frac{3}{4} \] ### Conclusion Thus, the probability of event B lies between \(\frac{5}{12}\) and \(\frac{3}{4}\).
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