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if the probability that the Giants will ...

if the probability that the Giants will win the NFC championship is p and if the probability that the raiders will wini the AFC championship is q, what is the probability that only one of these teams will win its respectgive championship?

A

pq

B

`p+q-2pq`

C

`|p-q|`

D

`1-pq`

Text Solution

Verified by Experts

The correct Answer is:
B

The probability that both teams will win is pq. The probability that both will lose is (1-p)(1-q). The probability that only one will winn is `1-[pq+(1-q)(1-q)]=1-(pq+1-p-q+pq)=p+q-2pq`.
Alternative solution: the probability that the giants will win and the raiders will lose is p(1-q). the probability that the raiders will win and the giants will lose is q(1-p). therefore, the probability that either one of these results will occurs is `p(1-q)+q(1-p)=p+q-2pq`.
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