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Consider on experiment of a single throw of a pair of unbiased normal dice. Let three events `epsilon_(1), epsilon_(2) and epsilon_(3)` are defined as follows `epsilon_(1)` : getting prime numbered face on each dice
`epsilon_(2):` getting the same number on each dice
`epsilon_(3):` getting the sum of 4 on two dice which of the following is not true?

A

The probabilities `P(epsilon_(1)), P(epsilon_(2)), P(epsilon_(3))` are arithmetic progression.

B

The events `epsilong_(1) and epsilon_(2)` are dependent

C

`P((epsilon_(3))/(epsilon_(1)))=(2)/(9)`

D

`P((epsilon_(3))/(epsilon_(1)))=(1)/(9)`

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to analyze the three events defined in the context of rolling two unbiased dice. Let's break down each event and calculate the probabilities. ### Step 1: Define the Sample Space When rolling two unbiased dice, the total number of outcomes is \(6 \times 6 = 36\). ### Step 2: Analyze Event \( \epsilon_1 \) **Event \( \epsilon_1 \)**: Getting a prime numbered face on each die. The prime numbers on a die are 2, 3, and 5. The possible outcomes for this event are: - (2, 2) - (2, 3) - (2, 5) - (3, 2) - (3, 3) - (3, 5) - (5, 2) - (5, 3) - (5, 5) Counting these outcomes, we find there are 9 favorable outcomes. **Probability of \( \epsilon_1 \)**: \[ P(\epsilon_1) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{9}{36} = \frac{1}{4} \] ### Step 3: Analyze Event \( \epsilon_2 \) **Event \( \epsilon_2 \)**: Getting the same number on each die (doubles). The possible outcomes are: - (1, 1) - (2, 2) - (3, 3) - (4, 4) - (5, 5) - (6, 6) Counting these outcomes, we find there are 6 favorable outcomes. **Probability of \( \epsilon_2 \)**: \[ P(\epsilon_2) = \frac{6}{36} = \frac{1}{6} \] ### Step 4: Analyze Event \( \epsilon_3 \) **Event \( \epsilon_3 \)**: Getting a sum of 4 on the two dice. The possible outcomes are: - (1, 3) - (3, 1) - (2, 2) Counting these outcomes, we find there are 3 favorable outcomes. **Probability of \( \epsilon_3 \)**: \[ P(\epsilon_3) = \frac{3}{36} = \frac{1}{12} \] ### Step 5: Check if the Events are in Arithmetic Progression (AP) For the probabilities to be in AP, the middle probability must equal the average of the other two: \[ P(\epsilon_2) \text{ should equal } \frac{P(\epsilon_1) + P(\epsilon_3}}{2} \] Calculating: \[ \frac{P(\epsilon_1) + P(\epsilon_3)}{2} = \frac{\frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{12}}{2} \] Finding a common denominator (12): \[ = \frac{\frac{3}{12} + \frac{1}{12}}{2} = \frac{\frac{4}{12}}{2} = \frac{2}{12} = \frac{1}{6} \] Since \( P(\epsilon_2) = \frac{1}{6} \), the events are in AP. ### Step 6: Check if Events are Dependent Events \( \epsilon_1 \) and \( \epsilon_2 \) are dependent if: \[ P(\epsilon_1 \cap \epsilon_2) \neq P(\epsilon_1) \cdot P(\epsilon_2) \] The intersection \( \epsilon_1 \cap \epsilon_2 \) includes outcomes (2, 2), (3, 3), and (5, 5) which are prime doubles: - (2, 2) So, \( P(\epsilon_1 \cap \epsilon_2) = \frac{1}{36} \). Calculating \( P(\epsilon_1) \cdot P(\epsilon_2) \): \[ P(\epsilon_1) \cdot P(\epsilon_2) = \frac{1}{4} \cdot \frac{1}{6} = \frac{1}{24} \] Since \( \frac{1}{36} \neq \frac{1}{24} \), the events are dependent. ### Step 7: Calculate Conditional Probability \( P(\epsilon_3 | \epsilon_1) \) Using the formula: \[ P(\epsilon_3 | \epsilon_1) = \frac{P(\epsilon_3 \cap \epsilon_1)}{P(\epsilon_1)} \] The intersection \( \epsilon_3 \cap \epsilon_1 \) includes (2, 2): \[ P(\epsilon_3 \cap \epsilon_1) = \frac{1}{36} \] Thus, \[ P(\epsilon_3 | \epsilon_1) = \frac{\frac{1}{36}}{\frac{1}{4}} = \frac{1}{36} \cdot \frac{4}{1} = \frac{4}{36} = \frac{1}{9} \] ### Conclusion - \( P(\epsilon_1) = \frac{1}{4} \) - \( P(\epsilon_2) = \frac{1}{6} \) - \( P(\epsilon_3) = \frac{1}{12} \) - The events are in AP. - The events are dependent. - \( P(\epsilon_3 | \epsilon_1) = \frac{1}{9} \) The statement that is **not true** is the one that claims the events are independent.
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