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(i) P speaks truth in 70% of the cases a...

(i) P speaks truth in 70% of the cases and Q in 80% of the cases. In what persentage of cases are they likely to agree in stating the same fact ?
(ii) A speaks truth in 75% of the cases, while B in 90% of the cases. In what percent of cases are they likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact ?

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To solve the given problems step by step, we will break down each part of the question. ### Part (i) **Question:** P speaks truth in 70% of the cases and Q in 80% of the cases. In what percentage of cases are they likely to agree in stating the same fact? 1. **Identify the probabilities:** - Probability that P speaks the truth, \( P(T_P) = 0.7 \) - Probability that Q speaks the truth, \( P(T_Q) = 0.8 \) 2. **Calculate the probability that both P and Q speak the truth:** \[ P(T_P \cap T_Q) = P(T_P) \times P(T_Q) = 0.7 \times 0.8 = 0.56 \] 3. **Calculate the probabilities that both P and Q lie:** - Probability that P lies, \( P(L_P) = 1 - P(T_P) = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3 \) - Probability that Q lies, \( P(L_Q) = 1 - P(T_Q) = 1 - 0.8 = 0.2 \) \[ P(L_P \cap L_Q) = P(L_P) \times P(L_Q) = 0.3 \times 0.2 = 0.06 \] 4. **Total probability that P and Q agree:** \[ P(\text{Agree}) = P(T_P \cap T_Q) + P(L_P \cap L_Q) = 0.56 + 0.06 = 0.62 \] 5. **Convert to percentage:** \[ P(\text{Agree}) = 0.62 \times 100 = 62\% \] ### Part (ii) **Question:** A speaks truth in 75% of the cases, while B in 90% of the cases. In what percent of cases are they likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact? 1. **Identify the probabilities:** - Probability that A speaks the truth, \( P(T_A) = 0.75 \) - Probability that B speaks the truth, \( P(T_B) = 0.90 \) 2. **Calculate the probabilities that A lies and B lies:** - Probability that A lies, \( P(L_A) = 1 - P(T_A) = 1 - 0.75 = 0.25 \) - Probability that B lies, \( P(L_B) = 1 - P(T_B) = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10 \) 3. **Calculate the probabilities of contradiction:** - Case 1: A tells the truth and B lies: \[ P(T_A \cap L_B) = P(T_A) \times P(L_B) = 0.75 \times 0.10 = 0.075 \] - Case 2: A lies and B tells the truth: \[ P(L_A \cap T_B) = P(L_A) \times P(T_B) = 0.25 \times 0.90 = 0.225 \] 4. **Total probability of contradiction:** \[ P(\text{Contradict}) = P(T_A \cap L_B) + P(L_A \cap T_B) = 0.075 + 0.225 = 0.30 \] 5. **Convert to percentage:** \[ P(\text{Contradict}) = 0.30 \times 100 = 30\% \] ### Final Answers: (i) They are likely to agree in stating the same fact in **62%** of cases. (ii) They are likely to contradict each other in stating the same fact in **30%** of cases.
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MODERN PUBLICATION-PROBABILITY-EXERCISE 13 (b) (LATQ)
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  6. One bag contains 3 red and 5 black balls. Another bag contains 6 red a...

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  9. There are three urns. A, B, and C . Urn A contains 4 red balls and 3 b...

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  10. (i) P speaks truth in 70% of the cases and Q in 80% of the cases. In w...

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  11. (i) A and B toss a coin alternately till one of them tosses a head and...

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