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Assume that in a family, each child is e...

Assume that in a family, each child is equally likely to be a boy or girls .A family with three children is is choosen at random. The probability that the eldest child is a girls given that the family has at least one girls is

A

`1/2`

B

`1/3`

C

`2/3`

D

`4/7`

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability that the eldest child is a girl given that there is at least one girl in the family with three children. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define Events**: - Let \( E \) be the event that the eldest child is a girl. - Let \( A \) be the event that there is at least one girl in the family. 2. **Calculate \( P(A) \)**: - The probability of having at least one girl can be calculated using the complement rule. - The probability of having no girls (i.e., all boys) in three children is: \[ P(\text{no girls}) = P(B) \times P(B) \times P(B) = \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 = \frac{1}{8} \] - Therefore, the probability of having at least one girl is: \[ P(A) = 1 - P(\text{no girls}) = 1 - \frac{1}{8} = \frac{7}{8} \] 3. **Calculate \( P(E \cap A) \)**: - We need to find the probability that the eldest child is a girl and there is at least one girl in the family. - The possible combinations of children where the eldest is a girl are: - GBB (Eldest is girl, second and third are boys) - GBG (Eldest is girl, second is boy, third is girl) - GGG (All three are girls) - GGB (Eldest is girl, second is girl, third is boy) - The total combinations satisfying \( E \cap A \) are 4: - GBB - GBG - GGB - GGG - Each combination has a probability of \( \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 = \frac{1}{8} \). - Therefore, the probability of \( E \cap A \) is: \[ P(E \cap A) = 4 \times \frac{1}{8} = \frac{4}{8} = \frac{1}{2} \] 4. **Calculate \( P(E | A) \)**: - We use the formula for conditional probability: \[ P(E | A) = \frac{P(E \cap A)}{P(A)} \] - Substituting the values we found: \[ P(E | A) = \frac{\frac{1}{2}}{\frac{7}{8}} = \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{8}{7} = \frac{4}{7} \] ### Final Answer: The probability that the eldest child is a girl given that there is at least one girl in the family is \( \frac{4}{7} \).

To solve the problem, we need to find the probability that the eldest child is a girl given that there is at least one girl in the family with three children. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Define Events**: - Let \( E \) be the event that the eldest child is a girl. - Let \( A \) be the event that there is at least one girl in the family. ...
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