A biased coin with probability `p(0 lt plt 1)` of falling tails is tossed until a tail appears for the first time. If the probability that tail comes in odd number of trials is `(2)/(3)`, then `p` equals
A
`(1)/(4)`
B
`(1)/(3)`
C
`(3)/(4)`
D
`(1)/(2)`
Text Solution
AI Generated Solution
The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability \( p \) of getting tails when a biased coin is tossed until a tail appears for the first time, given that the probability of getting tails in an odd number of trials is \( \frac{2}{3} \).
### Step-by-step Solution:
1. **Understanding the Problem**:
We know that the coin is biased, with the probability of tails being \( p \) and the probability of heads being \( 1 - p \). We want to find the probability \( p \) such that the probability of getting tails in an odd number of trials is \( \frac{2}{3} \).
2. **Identifying the Odd Trials**:
The odd trials where tails can appear for the first time are:
- 1st trial: Tails (probability = \( p \))
- 3rd trial: Heads in the first two trials and tails in the third (probability = \( (1 - p)^2 \cdot p \))
- 5th trial: Heads in the first four trials and tails in the fifth (probability = \( (1 - p)^4 \cdot p \))
- And so on...
3. **Setting Up the Probability**:
The total probability of getting tails in an odd number of trials can be expressed as an infinite series:
\[
P(\text{odd}) = p + (1 - p)^2 p + (1 - p)^4 p + \ldots
\]
This can be factored as:
\[
P(\text{odd}) = p \left( 1 + (1 - p)^2 + (1 - p)^4 + \ldots \right)
\]
4. **Recognizing the Series**:
The series \( 1 + (1 - p)^2 + (1 - p)^4 + \ldots \) is a geometric series with the first term \( a = 1 \) and common ratio \( r = (1 - p)^2 \). The sum of an infinite geometric series is given by:
\[
S = \frac{a}{1 - r} = \frac{1}{1 - (1 - p)^2}
\]
5. **Calculating the Sum**:
Therefore, we can write:
\[
P(\text{odd}) = p \cdot \frac{1}{1 - (1 - p)^2}
\]
Simplifying the denominator:
\[
1 - (1 - p)^2 = 1 - (1 - 2p + p^2) = 2p - p^2
\]
Thus,
\[
P(\text{odd}) = \frac{p}{2p - p^2}
\]
6. **Setting Up the Equation**:
According to the problem, this probability equals \( \frac{2}{3} \):
\[
\frac{p}{2p - p^2} = \frac{2}{3}
\]
7. **Cross Multiplying**:
Cross-multiplying gives:
\[
3p = 2(2p - p^2)
\]
Expanding the right side:
\[
3p = 4p - 2p^2
\]
8. **Rearranging the Equation**:
Rearranging gives us:
\[
2p^2 - p = 0
\]
Factoring out \( p \):
\[
p(2p - 1) = 0
\]
9. **Finding the Values of \( p \)**:
This gives us two solutions:
\[
p = 0 \quad \text{or} \quad 2p - 1 = 0 \implies p = \frac{1}{2}
\]
Since \( p \) must be between 0 and 1, we have:
\[
p = \frac{1}{2}
\]
### Final Answer:
The value of \( p \) is \( \frac{1}{2} \).
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability \( p \) of getting tails when a biased coin is tossed until a tail appears for the first time, given that the probability of getting tails in an odd number of trials is \( \frac{2}{3} \).
### Step-by-step Solution:
1. **Understanding the Problem**:
We know that the coin is biased, with the probability of tails being \( p \) and the probability of heads being \( 1 - p \). We want to find the probability \( p \) such that the probability of getting tails in an odd number of trials is \( \frac{2}{3} \).
2. **Identifying the Odd Trials**:
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