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There are 5 machines. Probability of a m...

There are 5 machines. Probability of a machine being faulted is `1/4` . Probability of atmost two machines is faulted, is `(3/4)^3 k`, then value of k is

A

1. `(17)/(2)`

B

2. `(17)/(8)`

C

3. 4

D

4.`(17)/(4)`

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To solve the problem, we need to calculate the probability of at most two machines being faulted out of five machines, where the probability of a machine being faulted is \( \frac{1}{4} \). ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Identify Probabilities**: - Let \( P(F) = \frac{1}{4} \) (probability of a machine being faulted). - Let \( P(NF) = 1 - P(F) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4} \) (probability of a machine not being faulted). 2. **Define the Problem**: - We need to find the probability of at most 2 machines being faulted. This includes the cases where: - No machines are faulted (0 faulted). - Exactly 1 machine is faulted (1 faulted). - Exactly 2 machines are faulted (2 faulted). 3. **Use the Binomial Probability Formula**: - The probability of exactly \( r \) successes (faulted machines) in \( n \) trials (total machines) is given by: \[ P(X = r) = \binom{n}{r} (P(F))^r (P(NF))^{n-r} \] - Here, \( n = 5 \) (total machines), \( P(F) = \frac{1}{4} \), and \( P(NF) = \frac{3}{4} \). 4. **Calculate Each Case**: - **Case 0 (No machines faulted)**: \[ P(X = 0) = \binom{5}{0} \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^0 \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^5 = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^5 = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^5 \] - **Case 1 (One machine faulted)**: \[ P(X = 1) = \binom{5}{1} \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^1 \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^4 = 5 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{4}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^4 = 5 \cdot \frac{1}{4} \cdot \frac{81}{256} = \frac{405}{1024} \] - **Case 2 (Two machines faulted)**: \[ P(X = 2) = \binom{5}{2} \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^2 \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3 = 10 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{16}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{27}{64}\right) = 10 \cdot \frac{27}{1024} = \frac{270}{1024} \] 5. **Sum the Probabilities**: - Now, we add the probabilities from the three cases: \[ P(X \leq 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^5 + \frac{405}{1024} + \frac{270}{1024} \] - Calculate \( \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^5 \): \[ \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^5 = \frac{243}{1024} \] - Now, combine: \[ P(X \leq 2) = \frac{243}{1024} + \frac{405}{1024} + \frac{270}{1024} = \frac{243 + 405 + 270}{1024} = \frac{918}{1024} \] 6. **Express in the Required Form**: - We need to express this in the form \( \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3 k \): \[ \frac{918}{1024} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3 k \] - Calculate \( \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3 = \frac{27}{64} \). - Thus, we have: \[ \frac{918}{1024} = \frac{27}{64} k \] - To find \( k \): \[ k = \frac{918}{1024} \cdot \frac{64}{27} \] - Simplifying: \[ k = \frac{918 \cdot 64}{1024 \cdot 27} = \frac{918 \cdot 64}{1024 \cdot 27} = \frac{918}{1024} \cdot \frac{64}{27} = \frac{17}{8} \] ### Final Answer: The value of \( k \) is \( \frac{17}{8} \).
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