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The rule of an "obstacle course" specif...

The rule of an "obstacle course" specifies that at the `n^(th)` obstacle a person has to tos a fair 6 sided die n times. If the sum of points in these n tosses is bigger than `2^(n)`, the person is said to have crossed the obstacle.
Q. The probability that a person crosses the first two obstacles but fails to cross the third obstacle.

A

`(36)/(243)`

B

`(116)/(216)`

C

`(35)/(243)`

D

`(143)/(243)`

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability that a person crosses the first two obstacles but fails to cross the third obstacle in an obstacle course where the rules involve rolling a fair six-sided die. ### Step-by-Step Solution: 1. **Understanding the First Obstacle:** - At the first obstacle, the person rolls the die once (n=1). - The sum of the points must be greater than \(2^1 = 2\). - The possible outcomes when rolling a die are {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. - The successful outcomes (greater than 2) are {3, 4, 5, 6}. - Therefore, the probability of crossing the first obstacle is: \[ P(\text{cross 1st}) = \frac{\text{Number of successful outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}} = \frac{4}{6} = \frac{2}{3} \] 2. **Understanding the Second Obstacle:** - At the second obstacle, the person rolls the die twice (n=2). - The sum of the points must be greater than \(2^2 = 4\). - The total possible outcomes when rolling the die twice is \(6 \times 6 = 36\). - We need to count the outcomes where the sum is less than or equal to 4: - (1,1) → 2 - (1,2), (2,1) → 3 - (1,3), (3,1), (2,2) → 4 - The total unsuccessful outcomes are 6. Therefore, the successful outcomes are: \[ \text{Successful outcomes} = 36 - 6 = 30 \] - The probability of crossing the second obstacle is: \[ P(\text{cross 2nd}) = \frac{30}{36} = \frac{5}{6} \] 3. **Understanding the Third Obstacle:** - At the third obstacle, the person rolls the die three times (n=3). - The sum of the points must be greater than \(2^3 = 8\). - The total possible outcomes when rolling the die three times is \(6^3 = 216\). - We need to count the outcomes where the sum is less than or equal to 8. - The combinations that yield sums less than or equal to 8 can be calculated systematically or through combinatorial counting: - After counting, we find that there are 56 outcomes where the sum is less than or equal to 8. - Therefore, the successful outcomes are: \[ \text{Successful outcomes} = 216 - 56 = 160 \] - The probability of failing to cross the third obstacle is: \[ P(\text{fail 3rd}) = \frac{56}{216} = \frac{7}{27} \] 4. **Calculating the Overall Probability:** - The overall probability that the person crosses the first two obstacles and fails the third obstacle is given by the product of the individual probabilities: \[ P(\text{cross 1st and 2nd, fail 3rd}) = P(\text{cross 1st}) \times P(\text{cross 2nd}) \times P(\text{fail 3rd}) \] \[ = \left(\frac{2}{3}\right) \times \left(\frac{5}{6}\right) \times \left(\frac{56}{216}\right) \] - Simplifying this: \[ = \frac{2 \times 5 \times 56}{3 \times 6 \times 216} = \frac{560}{3888} \] - Reducing this fraction: \[ = \frac{35}{243} \] ### Final Answer: The probability that a person crosses the first two obstacles but fails to cross the third obstacle is: \[ \frac{35}{243} \]
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