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X speaks truth in 60% and Y in 50% of th...

X speaks truth in 60% and Y in 50% of the cases. The probability that they contradict each other narrating the same incident is

A

`1/4`

B

`1/3`

C

`1/2`

D

`2/3`

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The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to find the probability that X and Y contradict each other when narrating the same incident. ### Step-by-step Solution: 1. **Understand the probabilities of speaking the truth:** - X speaks the truth in 60% of the cases, which can be expressed as: \[ P(\text{X speaks truth}) = 0.6 = \frac{6}{10} \] - Therefore, the probability that X lies is: \[ P(\text{X lies}) = 1 - P(\text{X speaks truth}) = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4 = \frac{4}{10} \] 2. **Determine Y's probabilities:** - Y speaks the truth in 50% of the cases, which can be expressed as: \[ P(\text{Y speaks truth}) = 0.5 = \frac{5}{10} \] - Therefore, the probability that Y lies is: \[ P(\text{Y lies}) = 1 - P(\text{Y speaks truth}) = 1 - 0.5 = 0.5 = \frac{5}{10} \] 3. **Identify the cases where they contradict each other:** - Case 1: X speaks the truth and Y lies. - Case 2: X lies and Y speaks the truth. 4. **Calculate the probabilities for each case:** - For Case 1 (X speaks truth, Y lies): \[ P(\text{X speaks truth and Y lies}) = P(\text{X speaks truth}) \times P(\text{Y lies}) = \frac{6}{10} \times \frac{5}{10} = \frac{30}{100} = \frac{3}{10} \] - For Case 2 (X lies, Y speaks truth): \[ P(\text{X lies and Y speaks truth}) = P(\text{X lies}) \times P(\text{Y speaks truth}) = \frac{4}{10} \times \frac{5}{10} = \frac{20}{100} = \frac{2}{10} \] 5. **Add the probabilities of both cases to find the total probability of contradiction:** \[ P(\text{Contradiction}) = P(\text{Case 1}) + P(\text{Case 2}) = \frac{3}{10} + \frac{2}{10} = \frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2} \] ### Final Answer: The probability that X and Y contradict each other is: \[ \frac{1}{2} \]
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