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If the probability of hitting a target b...

If the probability of hitting a target by a shooter, in any shot is 1/3, then the minimum number of independent shots at the target required by him so that the probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than `(5)/(6)` is

A

6

B

5

C

4

D

3

Text Solution

AI Generated Solution

The correct Answer is:
To solve the problem, we need to determine the minimum number of independent shots required by a shooter such that the probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than \( \frac{5}{6} \). ### Step-by-step Solution: 1. **Define the Probability of Hitting and Missing:** - The probability of hitting the target in any shot, \( P(H) = \frac{1}{3} \). - The probability of missing the target in any shot, \( P(M) = 1 - P(H) = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3} \). 2. **Let \( n \) be the number of shots:** - We want to find the minimum \( n \) such that the probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than \( \frac{5}{6} \). 3. **Express the Probability of Hitting at Least Once:** - The probability of hitting the target at least once in \( n \) shots is given by: \[ P(\text{at least one hit}) = 1 - P(\text{no hits in } n \text{ shots}) = 1 - P(M)^n \] - Therefore, we have: \[ P(\text{at least one hit}) = 1 - \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n \] 4. **Set Up the Inequality:** - We need this probability to be greater than \( \frac{5}{6} \): \[ 1 - \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n > \frac{5}{6} \] 5. **Rearranging the Inequality:** - Subtract 1 from both sides: \[ -\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n > -\frac{1}{6} \] - Multiply both sides by -1 (which reverses the inequality): \[ \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n < \frac{1}{6} \] 6. **Taking Logarithms:** - Taking logarithm on both sides: \[ \log\left(\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n\right) < \log\left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \] - This simplifies to: \[ n \log\left(\frac{2}{3}\right) < \log\left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \] 7. **Solving for \( n \):** - Since \( \log\left(\frac{2}{3}\right) \) is negative, we can divide both sides by it (which will flip the inequality): \[ n > \frac{\log\left(\frac{1}{6}\right)}{\log\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)} \] 8. **Calculating the Values:** - Calculate \( \log\left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \) and \( \log\left(\frac{2}{3}\right) \): - \( \log\left(\frac{1}{6}\right) = \log(1) - \log(6) = 0 - \log(6) = -\log(6) \) - \( \log\left(\frac{2}{3}\right) = \log(2) - \log(3) \) 9. **Finding the Minimum \( n \):** - Using approximate values: - \( \log(2) \approx 0.301 \) - \( \log(3) \approx 0.477 \) - \( \log(6) = \log(2) + \log(3) \approx 0.301 + 0.477 = 0.778 \) - Therefore: \[ n > \frac{-0.778}{0.301 - 0.477} = \frac{-0.778}{-0.176} \approx 4.42 \] - Since \( n \) must be a whole number, we round up to the next whole number: \[ n = 5 \] ### Conclusion: The minimum number of independent shots required by the shooter so that the probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than \( \frac{5}{6} \) is **5**.
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